Happy Valley · 2021-01-13
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SIMPLY FLUKE CP/H/XB 0.57.52 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 4 | 6.2 | N |
| 2 | 0 | TRAVEL DATUK B A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 8 | 12.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | JAZZ STEED B/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 7 | 8.5 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | OVERSUBSCRIBED XB M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 9 | 34.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | U W BROTHER J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 5 | 3.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | JOYFUL WIN B T Piccone · P F Yiu | T Piccone | P F Yiu | 1 | 13.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | VIVA POPCORN TT1 K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 2 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | FARM BUMPER C Schofield · K L Man | C Schofield | K L Man | 3 | 9.3 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | TOM'S STYLE XB/TT N Callan · K W Lui | N Callan | K W Lui | 12 | 11.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | INFINITE POWER B-/V1 Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 10 | 10.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | ENJOY MY LIFE TT1 K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 6 | 24.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | MAGIC BONUS B1 V Borges · D A Hayes | V Borges | D A Hayes | 11 | 89.0 | 12-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2021-01-13 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. SIMPLY FLUKE, ridden by C L Chau and trained by D J Whyte, won by N, with TRAVEL DATUK second and JAZZ STEED third. The 3.1 favourite U W BROTHER finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | U W BROTHER | 33.7% | 2.97 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | SIMPLY FLUKE | 9.9% | 10.14 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | VIVA POPCORN | 8.3% | 11.98 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | JAZZ STEED | 7.9% | 12.66 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | FARM BUMPER | 7.1% | 14.13 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | INFINITE POWER | 7.0% | 14.37 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | MAGIC BONUS | 5.8% | 17.36 | 12 |
| 8 | 0 | TRAVEL DATUK | 5.0% | 19.86 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 4.9% | 20.37 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | TOM'S STYLE | 4.4% | 22.61 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | ENJOY MY LIFE | 3.2% | 31.20 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | JOYFUL WIN | 2.8% | 35.53 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 62.5
PLACE
1 28.5
3 19.5
11 28.5
QUINELLA
3,11 416
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 98.5
1,11 144
3,11 106
FORECAST
3,11 633
TIERCE
3,11,1 4,203
TRIO
1,3,11 666
FIRST 4
1,3,11,12 2,839
QUARTET
3,11,1,12 60,577
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,7,10/1,3,11 95,444
3 PICK 1
A3 19.5
A1 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
7/3 690.5
7/11 172.5