跑馬地 · 2021-01-13
第 5場
2021-01-13跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由C L Chau策騎、D J Whyte訓練的SIMPLY FLUKE勝出，贏出N。TRAVEL DATUK獲得亞軍；JAZZ STEED獲得季軍。3.1倍大熱門U W BROTHER跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SIMPLY FLUKE CP/H/XB 0.57.52 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 4 | 6.2 | N |
| 2 | 11 | TRAVEL DATUK B A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 8 | 12.0 | N |
| 3 | 1 | JAZZ STEED B/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 7 | 8.5 | 1 |
| 4 | 12 | OVERSUBSCRIBED XB M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 9 | 34.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | U W BROTHER J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 5 | 3.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | JOYFUL WIN B T Piccone · P F Yiu | T Piccone | P F Yiu | 1 | 13.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | VIVA POPCORN TT1 K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 2 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | FARM BUMPER C Schofield · K L Man | C Schofield | K L Man | 3 | 9.3 | 5 |
| 9 | 2 | TOM'S STYLE XB/TT N Callan · K W Lui | N Callan | K W Lui | 12 | 11.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | INFINITE POWER B-/V1 Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 10 | 10.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | ENJOY MY LIFE TT1 K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 6 | 24.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | MAGIC BONUS B1 V Borges · D A Hayes | V Borges | D A Hayes | 11 | 89.0 | 12-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | U W BROTHER | 33.7% | 2.97 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 | SIMPLY FLUKE | 9.9% | 10.14 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | VIVA POPCORN | 8.3% | 11.98 | 7 |
| 4 | 1 | JAZZ STEED | 7.9% | 12.66 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | FARM BUMPER | 7.1% | 14.13 | 8 |
| 6 | 8 | INFINITE POWER | 7.0% | 14.37 | 10 |
| 7 | 6 | MAGIC BONUS | 5.8% | 17.36 | 12 |
| 8 | 11 | TRAVEL DATUK | 5.0% | 19.86 | 2 |
| 9 | 12 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 4.9% | 20.37 | 4 |
| 10 | 2 | TOM'S STYLE | 4.4% | 22.61 | 9 |
| 11 | 4 | ENJOY MY LIFE | 3.2% | 31.20 | 11 |
| 12 | 9 | JOYFUL WIN | 2.8% | 35.53 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 62.5
PLACE
1 28.5
3 19.5
11 28.5
QUINELLA
3,11 416
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 98.5
1,11 144
3,11 106
FORECAST
3,11 633
TIERCE
3,11,1 4,203
TRIO
1,3,11 666
FIRST 4
1,3,11,12 2,839
QUARTET
3,11,1,12 60,577
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,7,10/1,3,11 95,444
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 19.5
4TH DOUBLE
7/3 690.5
7/11 172.5