跑馬地 · 2021-01-13
第 7場
2021-01-13跑馬地第7場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、C S Shum訓練的HANDSOME BO BO勝出，贏出1-1/2。TRIPLE TRIPLE獲得亞軍；HARRIER JET獲得季軍。1.6倍大熱門HARMONY N BLESSED跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HANDSOME BO BO TT 1.09.77 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 7 | 6.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | TRIPLE TRIPLE CP M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 8 | 27.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | HARRIER JET B V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 18.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | HARMONY N BLESSED XB B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 6 | 1.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | WHAT A LEGEND B K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 2 | 6.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER B N Callan · K W Lui | N Callan | K W Lui | 12 | 37.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 5 | ISLAND SHINE CP K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 5 | 30.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | WIND N GRASS TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 10 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | WINNING FEELING B H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 1 | 46.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | STORM WARNINGS CP/SR/TT J Moreira · D J Whyte | J Moreira | D J Whyte | 11 | 33.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | SERIOUS LIAISON TT H N Wong · D J Hall | H N Wong | D J Hall | 3 | 172.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 9 | TELECOM SMART XB H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 9 | 230.0 | 5 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 27.3% | 3.66 | 4 |
| 2 | 11 | TRIPLE TRIPLE | 15.9% | 6.27 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | HANDSOME BO BO | 13.0% | 7.68 | 1 |
| 4 | 10 | WHAT A LEGEND | 8.0% | 12.54 | 5 |
| 5 | 2 | STORM WARNINGS | 7.4% | 13.51 | 10 |
| 6 | 12 | WINNING FEELING | 7.0% | 14.22 | 9 |
| 7 | 3 | WIND N GRASS | 6.3% | 15.81 | 8 |
| 8 | 4 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 6.0% | 16.62 | 6 |
| 9 | 8 | HARRIER JET | 4.5% | 22.02 | 3 |
| 10 | 5 | ISLAND SHINE | 2.6% | 37.76 | 7 |
| 11 | 9 | TELECOM SMART | 1.0% | 96.98 | 12 |
| 12 | 7 | SERIOUS LIAISON | 0.8% | 130.54 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 64.5
PLACE
1 17
8 24.5
11 56.5
QUINELLA
1,11 748
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 95
1,11 156
8,11 205.5
FORECAST
1,11 1,550
TIERCE
1,11,8 11,584
TRIO
1,8,11 2,331
FIRST 4
1,6,8,11 500
QUARTET
1,11,8,6 28,109
全部彩池（另 5 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,5/1,8,11 36,157
3 PICK 1
A2 30
A1 —
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
5/1 200
5/11 107
TRIPLE TRIO
1,3,11/2,4,5/1,8,11 670,963
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,3,11/2,4,5/Any Combination 762