Happy Valley · 2021-01-13
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SMILING CITY Closed strongly SR-/CP2 1.40.07 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · D J Whyte | J Moreira | D J Whyte | 11 | 3.2 | N |
| 2 | 0 | DELIGHTFUL LAOS Closed strongly B/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 5 | 5.4 | N |
| 3 | 0 | NOBLE STEED Closed strongly B N Callan · K W Lui | N Callan | K W Lui | 12 | 29.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | INCANTO PREPARED Closed strongly E/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 6 | 3.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | NAMJONG PLUS Closed strongly K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 2 | 9.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | SURREALISM Closed strongly B A Hamelin · D E Ferraris | A Hamelin | D E Ferraris | 10 | 29.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | PRECISE EXPRESS K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 4 | 14.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | BLAZING BEAT Closed strongly CP M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 9 | 38.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | HANG'S DECISION B V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 3 | 80.0 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | CABLE SPEED T Piccone · R Gibson | T Piccone | R Gibson | 7 | 251.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | LEGION OF MERIT B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 1 | 112.0 | 19-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | ANGEL OF MY EYES Led early TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 8 | 5.8 | 23-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2021-01-13 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. SMILING CITY, ridden by J Moreira and trained by D J Whyte, won by N, with DELIGHTFUL LAOS second and NOBLE STEED third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.2 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | INCANTO PREPARED | 26.4% | 3.79 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | ANGEL OF MY EYES | 16.5% | 6.07 | 12 |
| 3 | 0 | DELIGHTFUL LAOS | 15.6% | 6.42 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | NAMJONG PLUS | 13.8% | 7.24 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | SMILING CITY | 11.7% | 8.51 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 4.2% | 23.73 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | NOBLE STEED | 3.5% | 28.59 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | SURREALISM | 3.4% | 29.43 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | BLAZING BEAT | 2.0% | 50.10 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | HANG'S DECISION | 1.4% | 72.46 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | LEGION OF MERIT | 1.0% | 96.41 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | CABLE SPEED | 0.5% | 214.73 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 32
PLACE
1 16
3 64
10 14.5
QUINELLA
1,10 103
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 199.5
1,10 39
3,10 114.5
FORECAST
10,1 191
TIERCE
10,1,3 2,510
TRIO
1,3,10 827
FIRST 4
1,3,7,10 435
QUARTET
10,1,3,7 8,989
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 15
A1 —
A3 —
7TH DOUBLE
1/1 80
1/10 358.5