Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Happy Valley · 2021-01-13

Race 1

Class 4 GOOD 2200m Course B 11 runners

Result

Official · 2.16.53
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 VICTORIOUS SEEKER Closed strongly B 2.16.53 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Schofield · P O'Sullivan 10 21.0 N
2 0 EXALTATION Closed strongly V/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz 6 3.0 N
3 0 DYNAMIC EAGLE Closed strongly A Badel · C S Shum 3 4.5 2-1/4
4 0 MAGNETISM Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · D E Ferraris 4 14.0 2-1/2
5 0 PERFECT TO PLAY XB T Piccone · C Fownes 2 8.3 3-1/4
6 0 BULLISH GLORY Closed strongly H M L Yeung · C W Chang 9 47.0 4-1/2
7 0 PEACH BLOSSOMS B/TT H W Lai · D J Hall 11 83.0 5
8 0 GREAT TIMES B C L Chau · K L Man 1 53.0 5-1/4
9 0 OWNERS' STAR B/TT A Hamelin · C S Shum 5 8.5 7
10 0 FULL POWER Led early B/XB N Callan · R Gibson 8 14.0 19
11 0 MORE THAN A HORSE V Z Purton · D J Whyte 7 5.5 34-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2021-01-13 was Class 4 over 2200m, run on GOOD going. VICTORIOUS SEEKER, ridden by C Schofield and trained by P O'Sullivan, won by N, with EXALTATION second and DYNAMIC EAGLE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite EXALTATION finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. VICTORIOUS SEEKER—2. EXALTATION+0.05L3. DYNAMIC EAGLE+2.25L4. MAGNETISM+2.5L5. PERFECT TO PLAY+3.25L6. BULLISH GLORY+4.5L7. PEACH BLOSSOMS+5L8. GREAT TIMES+5.25L9. OWNERS' STAR+7L10. FULL POWER+19L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick EXALTATION (27.6%) finished 2nd — the winner VICTORIOUS SEEKER was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 EXALTATION 27.6% 3.62 2
2 0 DYNAMIC EAGLE 22.3% 4.48 3
3 0 PERFECT TO PLAY 11.0% 9.13 5
4 0 OWNERS' STAR 10.1% 9.94 9
5 0 FULL POWER 6.4% 15.60 10
6 0 MORE THAN A HORSE 6.3% 15.94 11
7 0 VICTORIOUS SEEKER 5.3% 18.72 1
8 0 MAGNETISM 4.2% 23.61 4
9 0 GREAT TIMES 3.8% 26.01 8
10 0 PEACH BLOSSOMS 1.6% 64.19 7
11 0 BULLISH GLORY 1.4% 72.23 6
EXALTATIONDYNAMIC EAGLEPERFECT TO PLAYOWNERS' STARFULL POWERMORE THAN A HORSEVICTORIOUS SEEKER — wonMAGNETISMGREAT TIMESPEACH BLOSSOMSBULLISH GLORY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 216.5

PLACE

4 16

9 55

11 14.5

QUINELLA

9,11 233

QUINELLA PLACE

4,9 139.5

4,11 30.5

9,11 92.5

FORECAST

9,11 781

TIERCE

9,11,4 3,334

TRIO

4,9,11 394

FIRST 4

4,6,9,11 771

QUARTET

9,11,4,6 26,844

All pools (1 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A3 35

A1 —