Happy Valley · 2021-01-13
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2021-01-13 was Class 4 over 2200m, run on GOOD going. VICTORIOUS SEEKER, ridden by C Schofield and trained by P O'Sullivan, won by N, with EXALTATION second and DYNAMIC EAGLE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite EXALTATION finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER Closed strongly B 2.16.53 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Schofield · P O'Sullivan | C Schofield | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 21.0 | N |
| 2 | 11 | EXALTATION Closed strongly V/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 6 | 3.0 | N |
| 3 | 4 | DYNAMIC EAGLE Closed strongly A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 3 | 4.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | MAGNETISM Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 4 | 14.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | PERFECT TO PLAY XB T Piccone · C Fownes | T Piccone | C Fownes | 2 | 8.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | BULLISH GLORY Closed strongly H M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 9 | 47.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | PEACH BLOSSOMS B/TT H W Lai · D J Hall | H W Lai | D J Hall | 11 | 83.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 8 | GREAT TIMES B C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 1 | 53.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | OWNERS' STAR B/TT A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 5 | 8.5 | 7 |
| 10 | 3 | FULL POWER Led early B/XB N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | 8 | 14.0 | 19 |
| 11 | 1 | MORE THAN A HORSE V Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 7 | 5.5 | 34-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | EXALTATION | 27.6% | 3.62 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | DYNAMIC EAGLE | 22.3% | 4.48 | 3 |
| 3 | 10 | PERFECT TO PLAY | 11.0% | 9.13 | 5 |
| 4 | 5 | OWNERS' STAR | 10.1% | 9.94 | 9 |
| 5 | 3 | FULL POWER | 6.4% | 15.60 | 10 |
| 6 | 1 | MORE THAN A HORSE | 6.3% | 15.94 | 11 |
| 7 | 9 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER | 5.3% | 18.72 | 1 |
| 8 | 6 | MAGNETISM | 4.2% | 23.61 | 4 |
| 9 | 8 | GREAT TIMES | 3.8% | 26.01 | 8 |
| 10 | 2 | PEACH BLOSSOMS | 1.6% | 64.19 | 7 |
| 11 | 7 | BULLISH GLORY | 1.4% | 72.23 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 216.5
PLACE
4 16
9 55
11 14.5
QUINELLA
9,11 233
QUINELLA PLACE
4,9 139.5
4,11 30.5
9,11 92.5
FORECAST
9,11 781
TIERCE
9,11,4 3,334
TRIO
4,9,11 394
FIRST 4
4,6,9,11 771
QUARTET
9,11,4,6 26,844
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 35