沙田 · 2021-03-13
第 4場
2021-03-13沙田第4場，Class 5，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的SEIZE THE SPIRIT勝出，贏出3/4。DAILY CHARM獲得亞軍；CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以4.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT 後段發力 1.36.17 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 11 | 4.8 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | DAILY CHARM 早段領放 B/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 13 | 7.1 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 5 | CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE 後段發力 CP/H/TT R Maia · A S Cruz | R Maia | A S Cruz | 6 | 18.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 14 | WICKER B H T Mo · R Gibson | H T Mo | R Gibson | 14 | 81.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | REGENCY GEM 後段發力 B-/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 7 | 6.7 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | SURE WIN WIN C Schofield · T P Yung | C Schofield | T P Yung | 1 | 7.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 13 | GOLDEN GENERAL 後段發力 SR K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 9 | 9.8 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | REEVE'S MUNTJAC 後段發力 V-/XB/B2/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 2 | 28.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | ALLOY KING B C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 12 | 22.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | INDIGENOUS STAR M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 4 | 19.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | ROSSE SCARPE H1 H N Wong · K L Man | H N Wong | K L Man | 8 | 185.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 12 | PROUD SKY V H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 5 | 33.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 10 | SHINEALOT B N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 7.9 | 8-1/4 |
| 14 | 4 | APOLAR WARRIOR V K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 10 | 8.1 | 8-1/4 |
| — | 0 | SPEED FORCE A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | REGENCY GEM | 21.6% | 4.63 | 5 |
| 2 | 8 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT | 13.9% | 7.18 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | SURE WIN WIN | 12.4% | 8.09 | 6 |
| 4 | 10 | SHINEALOT | 11.1% | 9.04 | 13 |
| 5 | 1 | DAILY CHARM | 9.8% | 10.21 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | APOLAR WARRIOR | 5.9% | 16.93 | 14 |
| 7 | 12 | PROUD SKY | 5.1% | 19.46 | 12 |
| 8 | 13 | GOLDEN GENERAL | 4.0% | 24.76 | 7 |
| 9 | 9 | ALLOY KING | 4.0% | 25.20 | 9 |
| 10 | 6 | INDIGENOUS STAR | 3.6% | 27.92 | 10 |
| 11 | 5 | CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE | 3.4% | 29.36 | 3 |
| 12 | 11 | REEVE'S MUNTJAC | 2.6% | 37.85 | 8 |
| 13 | 14 | WICKER | 2.0% | 50.15 | 4 |
| 14 | 7 | ROSSE SCARPE | 0.6% | 169.38 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 48.5
PLACE
1 26
5 59
8 18.5
QUINELLA
1,8 288
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 289
1,8 103
5,8 165.5
FORECAST
8,1 472
TIERCE
8,1,5 7,812
TRIO
1,5,8 1,354
FIRST 4
1,5,8,14 27,217
QUARTET
8,1,5,14 241,930
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,10,11/1,5,8 58,538
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 25.5
3RD DOUBLE
3/1 54.5
3/8 181