Sha Tin · 2021-03-13
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT Closed strongly 1.36.17 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 11 | 4.8 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | DAILY CHARM Led early B/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 13 | 7.1 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE Closed strongly CP/H/TT R Maia · A S Cruz | R Maia | A S Cruz | 6 | 18.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | WICKER B H T Mo · R Gibson | H T Mo | R Gibson | 14 | 81.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | REGENCY GEM Closed strongly B-/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 7 | 6.7 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | SURE WIN WIN C Schofield · T P Yung | C Schofield | T P Yung | 1 | 7.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | GOLDEN GENERAL Closed strongly SR K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 9 | 9.8 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | REEVE'S MUNTJAC Closed strongly V-/XB/B2/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 2 | 28.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | ALLOY KING B C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 12 | 22.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | INDIGENOUS STAR M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 4 | 19.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | ROSSE SCARPE H1 H N Wong · K L Man | H N Wong | K L Man | 8 | 185.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | PROUD SKY V H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 5 | 33.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | SHINEALOT B N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 7.9 | 8-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | APOLAR WARRIOR V K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 10 | 8.1 | 8-1/4 |
| — | 0 | SPEED FORCE A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2021-03-13 was Class 5 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. SEIZE THE SPIRIT, ridden by J Moreira and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 3/4, with DAILY CHARM second and CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.8 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | REGENCY GEM | 21.6% | 4.63 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT | 13.9% | 7.18 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | SURE WIN WIN | 12.4% | 8.09 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | SHINEALOT | 11.1% | 9.04 | 13 |
| 5 | 0 | DAILY CHARM | 9.8% | 10.21 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | APOLAR WARRIOR | 5.9% | 16.93 | 14 |
| 7 | 0 | PROUD SKY | 5.1% | 19.46 | 12 |
| 8 | 0 | GOLDEN GENERAL | 4.0% | 24.76 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | ALLOY KING | 4.0% | 25.20 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | INDIGENOUS STAR | 3.6% | 27.92 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE | 3.4% | 29.36 | 3 |
| 12 | 0 | REEVE'S MUNTJAC | 2.6% | 37.85 | 8 |
| 13 | 0 | WICKER | 2.0% | 50.15 | 4 |
| 14 | 0 | ROSSE SCARPE | 0.6% | 169.38 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 48.5
PLACE
1 26
5 59
8 18.5
QUINELLA
1,8 288
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 289
1,8 103
5,8 165.5
FORECAST
8,1 472
TIERCE
8,1,5 7,812
TRIO
1,5,8 1,354
FIRST 4
1,5,8,14 27,217
QUARTET
8,1,5,14 241,930
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,10,11/1,5,8 58,538
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 25.5
3RD DOUBLE
3/1 54.5
3/8 181