Sha Tin · 2021-03-13
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2021-03-13 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SUPER WINNER, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C H Yip, won by 3, with DANDY YEARS second and VUKAN third. The winner led throughout. The 2.6 favourite DANDY YEARS finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SUPER WINNER Wire to wire TT 1.21.34 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C H Yip | J Moreira | C H Yip | 12 | 3.7 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | DANDY YEARS Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 1 | 2.6 | 3 |
| 3 | 2 | VUKAN K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 5.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 14 | JIANGXI STAMINA Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 3 | 4.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND Closed strongly B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 11 | 12.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 6 | 13 | NOBLE MAN B/E/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 13 | 59.0 | 10 |
| 7 | 4 | JUNGLE BLAZE Closed strongly TT M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 7 | 262.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | TOP SCORE B/TT R Maia · C W Chang | R Maia | C W Chang | 14 | 73.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | FA FA Closed strongly C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 10 | 82.0 | 11 |
| 10 | 10 | VIVA POPCORN Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 6 | 89.0 | 11 |
| 11 | 6 | DIAMOND PIXIU N Callan · P F Yiu | N Callan | P F Yiu | 4 | 157.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | WAYFOONG STAR Closed strongly H1/SR2/TT1 K H Chan · D J Whyte | K H Chan | D J Whyte | 5 | 96.0 | 16-1/4 |
| 13 | 7 | FORZA SPEEDO B1 H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 2 | 289.0 | 22-1/4 |
| 14 | 8 | SILVERY WARRIOR H1/TT A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 8 | 39.0 | 22-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DANDY YEARS | 38.1% | 2.63 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | VUKAN | 16.0% | 6.25 | 3 |
| 3 | 9 | SUPER WINNER | 10.2% | 9.84 | 1 |
| 4 | 14 | JIANGXI STAMINA | 9.4% | 10.62 | 4 |
| 5 | 11 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND | 7.0% | 14.20 | 5 |
| 6 | 13 | NOBLE MAN | 5.4% | 18.67 | 6 |
| 7 | 12 | WAYFOONG STAR | 3.1% | 32.17 | 12 |
| 8 | 8 | SILVERY WARRIOR | 2.3% | 42.59 | 14 |
| 9 | 3 | FA FA | 2.2% | 44.93 | 9 |
| 10 | 6 | DIAMOND PIXIU | 1.6% | 60.95 | 11 |
| 11 | 4 | JUNGLE BLAZE | 1.5% | 66.21 | 7 |
| 12 | 10 | VIVA POPCORN | 1.5% | 67.07 | 10 |
| 13 | 5 | TOP SCORE | 1.2% | 81.42 | 8 |
| 14 | 7 | FORZA SPEEDO | 0.4% | 249.58 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 37
PLACE
1 13
2 16.5
9 14.5
QUINELLA
1,9 45.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 27
1,9 21
2,9 39.5
FORECAST
9,1 126
TIERCE
9,1,2 430
TRIO
1,2,9 69
FIRST 4
1,2,9,14 73
QUARTET
9,1,2,14 1,643
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 21
7TH DOUBLE
9/1 22
9/9 208