Sha Tin · 2021-03-13
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2021-03-13 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. ROMAN TURBO, ridden by A Badel and trained by C S Shum, won by N, with SUPER WEALTHY second and GUY DRAGON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite GUY DRAGON finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | ROMAN TURBO Closed strongly SR/TT 1.20.80 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 9 | 4.0 | N |
| 2 | 3 | SUPER WEALTHY Closed strongly H/XB Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 4 | 5.2 | N |
| 3 | 6 | GUY DRAGON Closed strongly XB/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 2 | 3.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | CALIFORNIA RAD B/TT R Maia · A S Cruz | R Maia | A S Cruz | 7 | 15.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE Led early H/P/TT M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 6 | 6.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | WINNING FOR ALL Closed strongly B/H/XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 20.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | BEAUTY RUSH E A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 5 | 14.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 9 | SUPER BUDDY B1 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 1 | 52.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | BAND OF BROTHERS Closed strongly V1 K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 13.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | TEAM SPIRIT B/TT H N Wong · W Y So | H N Wong | W Y So | 3 | 121.0 | 10-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | GUY DRAGON | 23.3% | 4.29 | 3 |
| 2 | 3 | SUPER WEALTHY | 17.3% | 5.78 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | ROMAN TURBO | 12.4% | 8.07 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE | 12.0% | 8.35 | 5 |
| 5 | 7 | BEAUTY RUSH | 10.2% | 9.85 | 7 |
| 6 | 2 | BAND OF BROTHERS | 8.4% | 11.89 | 9 |
| 7 | 1 | CALIFORNIA RAD | 7.8% | 12.86 | 4 |
| 8 | 10 | WINNING FOR ALL | 5.4% | 18.42 | 6 |
| 9 | 9 | SUPER BUDDY | 2.0% | 50.23 | 8 |
| 10 | 5 | TEAM SPIRIT | 1.3% | 78.92 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 40
PLACE
3 18
6 14
8 15.5
QUINELLA
3,8 106
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 32
3,8 36.5
6,8 27
FORECAST
8,3 222
TIERCE
8,3,6 606
TRIO
3,6,8 61
FIRST 4
1,3,6,8 207
QUARTET
8,3,6,1 4,929
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 17.5
A3 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
8/3 35.5
8/8 247