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Sha Tin · 2021-03-13

Race 5

Class 2 GOOD 1400m Course C+3 10 runners

Result

Official · 1.20.80
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 ROMAN TURBO Closed strongly SR/TT 1.20.80 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · C S Shum 9 4.0 N
2 0 SUPER WEALTHY Closed strongly H/XB Z Purton · D J Whyte 4 5.2 N
3 0 GUY DRAGON Closed strongly XB/TT J Moreira · C Fownes 2 3.1 1-1/4
4 0 CALIFORNIA RAD B/TT R Maia · A S Cruz 7 15.0 2
5 0 HIGHLY PROACTIVE Led early H/P/TT M F Poon · K W Lui 6 6.0 2
6 0 WINNING FOR ALL Closed strongly B/H/XB C Y Ho · K W Lui 8 20.0 3-1/2
7 0 BEAUTY RUSH E A Hamelin · J Size 5 14.0 5
8 0 SUPER BUDDY B1 M L Yeung · D A Hayes 1 52.0 5-1/4
9 0 BAND OF BROTHERS Closed strongly V1 K Teetan · P O'Sullivan 10 13.0 9-1/4
10 0 TEAM SPIRIT B/TT H N Wong · W Y So 3 121.0 10-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2021-03-13 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. ROMAN TURBO, ridden by A Badel and trained by C S Shum, won by N, with SUPER WEALTHY second and GUY DRAGON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite GUY DRAGON finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ROMAN TURBO—2. SUPER WEALTHY+0.05L3. GUY DRAGON+1.25L4. CALIFORNIA RAD+2L5. HIGHLY PROACTIVE+2L6. WINNING FOR ALL+3.5L7. BEAUTY RUSH+5L8. SUPER BUDDY+5.25L9. BAND OF BROTHERS+9.25L10. TEAM SPIRIT+10.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick GUY DRAGON (23.3%) finished 3rd — the winner ROMAN TURBO was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 GUY DRAGON 23.3% 4.29 3
2 0 SUPER WEALTHY 17.3% 5.78 2
3 0 ROMAN TURBO 12.4% 8.07 1
4 0 HIGHLY PROACTIVE 12.0% 8.35 5
5 0 BEAUTY RUSH 10.2% 9.85 7
6 0 BAND OF BROTHERS 8.4% 11.89 9
7 0 CALIFORNIA RAD 7.8% 12.86 4
8 0 WINNING FOR ALL 5.4% 18.42 6
9 0 SUPER BUDDY 2.0% 50.23 8
10 0 TEAM SPIRIT 1.3% 78.92 10
GUY DRAGONSUPER WEALTHYROMAN TURBO — wonHIGHLY PROACTIVEBEAUTY RUSHBAND OF BROTHERSCALIFORNIA RADWINNING FOR ALLSUPER BUDDYTEAM SPIRIT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 40

PLACE

3 18

6 14

8 15.5

QUINELLA

3,8 106

QUINELLA PLACE

3,6 32

3,8 36.5

6,8 27

FORECAST

8,3 222

TIERCE

8,3,6 606

TRIO

3,6,8 61

FIRST 4

1,3,6,8 207

QUARTET

8,3,6,1 4,929

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 17.5

A3 —

A2 —

4TH DOUBLE

8/3 35.5

8/8 247