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Sha Tin · 2021-03-13

Race 2

Class 1 GOOD 1600m Course C+3 7 runners

Result

Official · 1.33.63
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 KA YING STAR Closed strongly V/TT 1.33.63 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · A S Cruz 4 4.6 N
2 0 MORE THAN THIS Closed strongly A Badel · K W Lui 1 2.3 N
3 0 CHAMPION'S WAY Closed strongly P2/TT A Hamelin · J Size 5 15.0 1-3/4
4 0 FAST MOST FURIOUS J Moreira · D J Hall 3 5.8 1-3/4
5 0 SINGAPORE SLING CP K Teetan · A T Millard 2 3.6 4
6 0 KINGS SHIELD Led early CP C Y Ho · F C Lor 7 61.0 6-1/4
7 0 PLAYA DEL PUENTE SR/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum 6 34.0 7-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2021-03-13 was Class 1 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. KA YING STAR, ridden by Z Purton and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with MORE THAN THIS second and CHAMPION'S WAY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.3 favourite MORE THAN THIS finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. KA YING STAR—2. MORE THAN THIS+0.05L3. CHAMPION'S WAY+1.75L4. FAST MOST FURIOUS+1.75L5. SINGAPORE SLING+4L6. KINGS SHIELD+6.25L7. PLAYA DEL PUENTE+7.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick FAST MOST FURIOUS (31.3%) finished 4th — the winner KA YING STAR was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 FAST MOST FURIOUS 31.3% 3.19 4
2 0 KA YING STAR 24.0% 4.16 1
3 0 MORE THAN THIS 13.9% 7.19 2
4 0 SINGAPORE SLING 13.2% 7.59 5
5 0 CHAMPION'S WAY 8.9% 11.21 3
6 0 PLAYA DEL PUENTE 5.5% 18.32 7
7 0 KINGS SHIELD 3.2% 31.40 6
FAST MOST FURIOUSKA YING STAR — wonMORE THAN THISSINGAPORE SLINGCHAMPION'S WAYPLAYA DEL PUENTEKINGS SHIELD

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 46

PLACE

1 15.5

2 10.5

3 29

QUINELLA

1,2 57.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 19.5

1,3 69

2,3 51

FORECAST

1,2 127

TIERCE

1,2,3 590

TRIO

1,2,3 153

FIRST 4

1,2,3,4 82

QUARTET

1,2,3,4 1,293

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

8/1 115.5

8/2 11.5

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A1 —

A2 22

← Race 1 Race 3 → This meeting Draw bias · Sha Tin 1600m Need this as data? Full results archive — US$299 All results since 1977 as data