Sha Tin · 2021-03-13
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HONGKONG GREAT Wire to wire B/TT 1.36.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 1 | 2.6 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | STAR OF YUEN LONG Closed strongly B- K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 2 | 9.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | ELITE PATCH Closed strongly B/H/TT M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 5 | 37.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | PARTY EVERYDAY Closed strongly H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 11 | 7.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | PING HAI TREASURE P J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 4.1 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | BEAR SLAM Closed strongly B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 6 | 14.0 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | JOLLY HONOUR B H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 3 | 250.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | HIGH REV Closed strongly B/XB N Callan · D J Hall | N Callan | D J Hall | 7 | 57.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | GIFT OF LIFELINE Closed strongly B K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 10 | 31.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | SKYEY SUPREME B/TT M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 8 | 12.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | SMILING CITY CP K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 9 | 9.5 | 11-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2021-03-13 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. HONGKONG GREAT, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won by 2, with STAR OF YUEN LONG second and ELITE PATCH third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HONGKONG GREAT | 28.1% | 3.56 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | PING HAI TREASURE | 27.9% | 3.58 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | SMILING CITY | 8.4% | 11.91 | 11 |
| 4 | 0 | SKYEY SUPREME | 7.4% | 13.51 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | PARTY EVERYDAY | 6.9% | 14.55 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | STAR OF YUEN LONG | 4.7% | 21.26 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | GIFT OF LIFELINE | 4.7% | 21.48 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | HIGH REV | 4.2% | 23.54 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | BEAR SLAM | 3.8% | 26.56 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | ELITE PATCH | 2.9% | 34.78 | 3 |
| 11 | 0 | JOLLY HONOUR | 1.1% | 89.58 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 26
PLACE
2 71
3 14.5
5 26
QUINELLA
3,5 149.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 133
2,5 313
3,5 55
FORECAST
3,5 219
TIERCE
3,5,2 3,869
TRIO
2,3,5 1,380
FIRST 4
2,3,5,9 2,116
QUARTET
3,5,2,9 31,682
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 16
A2 —
A3 —
8TH DOUBLE
9/3 140
9/5 141