Sha Tin · 2021-03-13
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DOUBLE TAKE Closed strongly V-/B2 1.48.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 3 | 2.8 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | YES WE CAN Closed strongly TT A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 6 | 14.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | EL VALIENTE B M F Poon · P O'Sullivan | M F Poon | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 5.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | HANG'S DECISION Closed strongly B H N Wong · W Y So | H N Wong | W Y So | 9 | 50.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | UNITE SPIRIT B/XB J Moreira · D E Ferraris | J Moreira | D E Ferraris | 4 | 5.4 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | OH BRAVO Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 7 | 47.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | LEGION OF MERIT B H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 1 | 108.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | CROWN AVENUE V Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 2 | 4.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | EXALTATION V/TT R Maia · A S Cruz | R Maia | A S Cruz | 11 | 13.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE H-/B C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 5 | 45.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | LIGHT MY DAY Led early CP/TT K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 10 | 38.0 | 13-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2021-03-13 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. DOUBLE TAKE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by C Fownes, won by 1/2, with YES WE CAN second and EL VALIENTE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | UNITE SPIRIT | 22.7% | 4.41 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | CROWN AVENUE | 20.9% | 4.78 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | DOUBLE TAKE | 18.2% | 5.49 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | YES WE CAN | 10.8% | 9.27 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | EXALTATION | 8.8% | 11.36 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | EL VALIENTE | 5.7% | 17.49 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE | 4.0% | 25.06 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | OH BRAVO | 3.5% | 28.20 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | LEGION OF MERIT | 2.8% | 35.24 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | LIGHT MY DAY | 1.6% | 61.73 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | HANG'S DECISION | 0.9% | 110.82 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 28
PLACE
3 11.5
10 31.5
11 21
QUINELLA
3,10 196
QUINELLA PLACE
3,10 59.5
3,11 34
10,11 109
FORECAST
3,10 270
TIERCE
3,10,11 1,494
TRIO
3,10,11 493
FIRST 4
2,3,10,11 3,125
QUARTET
3,10,11,2 36,154
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
1/3 160
1/10 88
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 16.5
A1 —