Sha Tin · 2021-03-13
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SERIOUS LIAISON Closed strongly TT 1.21.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 9 | 15.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 0 | BAY TIBBS Closed strongly K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 2 | 15.0 | NOSE |
| 3 | 0 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 6 | 6.3 | N |
| 4 | 0 | HORSESAIN BOLT Closed strongly B/XB M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 8 | 20.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SMART FOLKS Closed strongly B H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 13 | 253.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | ALL FOR SOUTH Led early B K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 12 | 46.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | KA YING EXCELLENT CP/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 7 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | ROMANTIC COMBO B/TT J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 1 | 2.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | CLASSIC POSH H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 5 | 55.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | GOOD BEAUTY B/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 3 | 20.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | TEMPEST EXPRESS E/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 11 | 4.8 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | FANTASTIC SHOW Closed strongly B H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 10 | 194.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | VITRALITE XB A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 4 | 49.0 | 6-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2021-03-13 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SERIOUS LIAISON, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C Fownes, won by NOSE, with BAY TIBBS second and INVINCIBLE MISSILE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.1 favourite ROMANTIC COMBO finished 8th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ROMANTIC COMBO | 40.4% | 2.48 | 8 |
| 2 | 0 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 14.4% | 6.93 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | TEMPEST EXPRESS | 13.4% | 7.46 | 11 |
| 4 | 0 | ALL FOR SOUTH | 6.4% | 15.73 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | KA YING EXCELLENT | 4.8% | 20.68 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | CLASSIC POSH | 4.8% | 20.92 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | HORSESAIN BOLT | 4.2% | 24.05 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | GOOD BEAUTY | 4.0% | 24.86 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | BAY TIBBS | 3.6% | 27.53 | 2 |
| 10 | 0 | SERIOUS LIAISON | 1.8% | 56.71 | 1 |
| 11 | 0 | VITRALITE | 0.9% | 109.30 | 13 |
| 12 | 0 | FANTASTIC SHOW | 0.8% | 121.99 | 12 |
| 13 | 0 | SMART FOLKS | 0.5% | 204.49 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 151
PLACE
1 18
5 44
9 38.5
QUINELLA
5,9 1,171.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 139.5
1,9 127
5,9 279.5
FORECAST
9,5 1,779
TIERCE
9,5,1 11,264
TRIO
1,5,9 2,168
FIRST 4
1,5,6,9 3,231
QUARTET
9,5,1,6 81,355
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 31
A1 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,5/1,5,9 245,126
9TH DOUBLE
3/5 79.5
3/9 299.5
SIX UP
3,8/2,7/4,9/1,9/3,5/5,9 7,006
8/2/9/9/3/9 177,661
2 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
9/3/5 528
9/3/9 2,015