沙田 · 2021-03-13
第 6場
2021-03-13沙田第6場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、K W Lui訓練的VALIANT DREAM勝出，贏出N。BRILLIANT FORTUNE獲得亞軍；WHEN YOU BELIEVE獲得季軍。2.4倍大熱門HARMONY N BLESSED跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | VALIANT DREAM 0.55.97 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 8 | 3.8 | N |
| 2 | 7 | BRILLIANT FORTUNE J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 11 | 5.1 | N |
| 3 | 3 | WHEN YOU BELIEVE CP1/TT1 A Hamelin · F C Lor | A Hamelin | F C Lor | 9 | 9.4 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | SPEEDY MOUSE M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 10 | 264.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | HARMONY N BLESSED XB/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 7 | 2.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | TAKING AIM H-/SR1 C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 5 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 8 | EUROMISSILE XB1/TT1 A Badel · C W Chang | A Badel | C W Chang | 12 | 111.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | FABULOUS EIGHT CP1/TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 4 | 17.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | THE RUNNER CP- M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 1 | 44.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | CIRCUIT SIX B N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 3 | 110.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | FALCON TURBO B/XB C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 6 | 27.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | WIND SPEEDER K H Chan · Y S Tsui | K H Chan | Y S Tsui | 2 | 37.0 | 14 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 27.9% | 3.59 | 5 |
| 2 | 2 | VALIANT DREAM | 18.9% | 5.30 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | BRILLIANT FORTUNE | 12.5% | 8.00 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | WHEN YOU BELIEVE | 9.4% | 10.65 | 3 |
| 5 | 10 | FALCON TURBO | 8.2% | 12.14 | 11 |
| 6 | 12 | THE RUNNER | 6.8% | 14.71 | 9 |
| 7 | 6 | TAKING AIM | 5.8% | 17.38 | 6 |
| 8 | 11 | FABULOUS EIGHT | 5.7% | 17.47 | 8 |
| 9 | 1 | WIND SPEEDER | 1.7% | 59.54 | 12 |
| 10 | 8 | EUROMISSILE | 1.6% | 64.49 | 7 |
| 11 | 4 | CIRCUIT SIX | 1.1% | 88.19 | 10 |
| 12 | 9 | SPEEDY MOUSE | 0.5% | 204.91 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 38.5
PLACE
2 14
3 26
7 17.5
QUINELLA
2,7 126
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 48
2,7 41
3,7 95.5
FORECAST
2,7 232
TIERCE
2,7,3 1,594
TRIO
2,3,7 335
FIRST 4
2,3,7,9 9,757
QUARTET
2,7,3,9 110,757
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 15
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
8/2 157.5
8/7 47
TRIPLE TRIO
1,5,8/3,6,8/2,3,7 509,498
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,5,8/3,6,8/Any Combination 1,552