沙田 · 2021-03-13
第 1場
2021-03-13沙田第1場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由B Shinn策騎、C Fownes訓練的KILLER BEE勝出，贏出2-1/4。JADE PHOENIX獲得亞軍；TAKE WHAT YOU NEED獲得季軍。頭馬以2.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | KILLER BEE TT1 0.56.71 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 9 | 2.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 3 | JADE PHOENIX B M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 7 | 9.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 1 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED B-/V1 K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 3 | 7.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | GO GO SIXTEEN C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 23.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 11 | SIGHT HERO CP C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 4 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | BALTIC WHISPER B/TT J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 14 | 4.9 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | DURHAM STAR M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | DARCI JOY N Callan · P F Yiu | N Callan | P F Yiu | 12 | 15.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 12 | ZACIAN C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 11 | 98.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | LUCKY ONE TT1 A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 13 | 52.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 13 | HOLYSHOWCASING B1 H N Wong · D E Ferraris | H N Wong | D E Ferraris | 5 | 246.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 14 | QIPAO BOSS H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 8 | 19.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 6 | EASY FORTUNE M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 1 | 61.0 | 8 |
| 14 | 10 | STORMTROUPER CP-/XB1/TT- A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 10 | 76.0 | 9 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | JADE PHOENIX | 16.3% | 6.13 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | GO GO SIXTEEN | 14.3% | 7.00 | 4 |
| 3 | 2 | BALTIC WHISPER | 11.4% | 8.79 | 6 |
| 4 | 1 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED | 10.3% | 9.75 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | DURHAM STAR | 9.4% | 10.62 | 7 |
| 6 | 11 | SIGHT HERO | 7.4% | 13.57 | 5 |
| 7 | 6 | EASY FORTUNE | 5.5% | 18.07 | 13 |
| 8 | 14 | QIPAO BOSS | 5.5% | 18.08 | 12 |
| 9 | 8 | KILLER BEE | 4.6% | 21.59 | 1 |
| 10 | 4 | DARCI JOY | 4.6% | 21.76 | 8 |
| 11 | 9 | LUCKY ONE | 4.2% | 23.94 | 10 |
| 12 | 12 | ZACIAN | 3.8% | 26.50 | 9 |
| 13 | 10 | STORMTROUPER | 2.0% | 49.36 | 14 |
| 14 | 13 | HOLYSHOWCASING | 0.7% | 140.36 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 25.5
PLACE
1 21.5
3 24.5
8 12
QUINELLA
3,8 104
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 78
1,8 42.5
3,8 44.5
FORECAST
8,3 227
TIERCE
8,3,1 843
TRIO
1,3,8 235
FIRST 4
1,3,7,8 1,406
QUARTET
8,3,1,7 16,952
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 17
A3 —
A2 —