跑馬地 · 2021-03-17
第 3場
2021-03-17跑馬地第3場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由K H Chan策騎、C Fownes訓練的LAND POWER勝出，贏出SH。INNO LEGEND獲得亞軍；PEAK TO PEAK獲得季軍。2.4倍大熱門PEAK TO PEAK跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | LAND POWER B1/TT1 1.10.16 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 1 | 2.7 | SH |
| 2 | 6 | INNO LEGEND CP N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 7 | 17.0 | SH |
| 3 | 4 | PEAK TO PEAK SR J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 4 | 2.4 | HD |
| 4 | 7 | VIVA CHEF B K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 6 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 39.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 12 | OURGOLDENRULES B/XB A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 8 | 55.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | MASTER ALBERT B/E/TT A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 12 | 29.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | CHAMPION PRIDE B1/TT Z Purton · D E Ferraris | Z Purton | D E Ferraris | 5 | 6.5 | 7 |
| 9 | 9 | GRAND POWER H H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 2 | 257.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | FARIBAULT CP1 M L Yeung · P O'Sullivan | M L Yeung | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 107.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | AMAZING KNIGHT P- M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 10 | 104.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | JUST NOT LISTENING V K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 11 | 31.0 | 9-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | PEAK TO PEAK | 22.5% | 4.44 | 3 |
| 2 | 10 | CHAMPION PRIDE | 19.3% | 5.19 | 8 |
| 3 | 11 | LAND POWER | 13.6% | 7.34 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | VIVA CHEF | 12.8% | 7.78 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS | 7.2% | 13.89 | 5 |
| 6 | 1 | JUST NOT LISTENING | 6.9% | 14.59 | 12 |
| 7 | 6 | INNO LEGEND | 4.9% | 20.54 | 2 |
| 8 | 2 | MASTER ALBERT | 4.5% | 22.13 | 7 |
| 9 | 5 | FARIBAULT | 3.1% | 32.33 | 10 |
| 10 | 8 | AMAZING KNIGHT | 2.9% | 33.99 | 11 |
| 11 | 12 | OURGOLDENRULES | 1.6% | 63.14 | 6 |
| 12 | 9 | GRAND POWER | 0.7% | 147.43 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 27.5
PLACE
4 12.5
6 33
11 13
QUINELLA
6,11 212.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 64
4,11 19
6,11 65.5
FORECAST
11,6 336
TIERCE
11,6,4 1,136
TRIO
4,6,11 156
FIRST 4
4,6,7,11 177
QUARTET
11,6,4,7 4,607
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
6/6 586.5
6/11 939.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 20.5