跑馬地 · 2021-03-17
第 8場
2021-03-17跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由M Chadwick策騎、R Gibson訓練的RIGHT HONOURABLE勝出，贏出N。SMOOTHIES獲得亞軍；TELECOM FIGHTERS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.0倍大熱門THE HULK跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | RIGHT HONOURABLE 後段發力 H/PC/TT 1.39.13 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 11 | 45.0 | N |
| 2 | 7 | SMOOTHIES 後段發力 B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 8 | 6.4 | N |
| 3 | 9 | TELECOM FIGHTERS 早段領放 H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 7 | 20.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | THE HULK V- C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 4.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | NABOO STAR 後段發力 B/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 6 | 9.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | GALLANT CROWN B/TT K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 3 | 4.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | INCANTO PREPARED 後段發力 E/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 9 | 6.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | STAR PERFORMANCE TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 12 | 9.3 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | TALENTI B B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 2 | 13.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | WINSTON'S LAD B K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 4 | 86.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | TOTAL POWER B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 10 | 50.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | SWIFT SPIRIT B/XB/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 1 | 122.0 | 10-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | NABOO STAR | 19.2% | 5.21 | 5 |
| 2 | 11 | GALLANT CROWN | 17.6% | 5.68 | 6 |
| 3 | 3 | INCANTO PREPARED | 15.3% | 6.53 | 7 |
| 4 | 7 | SMOOTHIES | 10.8% | 9.22 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | THE HULK | 9.5% | 10.58 | 4 |
| 6 | 2 | STAR PERFORMANCE | 5.3% | 18.85 | 8 |
| 7 | 9 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 5.2% | 19.12 | 3 |
| 8 | 10 | TOTAL POWER | 5.0% | 20.11 | 11 |
| 9 | 12 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 4.9% | 20.25 | 1 |
| 10 | 6 | WINSTON'S LAD | 3.3% | 30.54 | 10 |
| 11 | 4 | TALENTI | 2.9% | 35.00 | 9 |
| 12 | 8 | SWIFT SPIRIT | 1.0% | 97.31 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 456.5
PLACE
7 21.5
9 58
12 94
QUINELLA
7,12 1,404
QUINELLA PLACE
7,9 157
7,12 367.5
9,12 828.5
FORECAST
12,7 4,393
TIERCE
12,7,9 42,967
TRIO
7,9,12 7,497
FIRST 4
5,7,9,12 4,255
QUARTET
12,7,9,5 226,009
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 34
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
4/7 240
4/12 4,200.5