跑馬地 · 2021-03-17
第 7場
2021-03-17跑馬地第7場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由M Chadwick策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的HARMONY AND RICH勝出，贏出1。LOVING A BOOM獲得亞軍；SKY SHOW獲得季軍。2.3倍大熱門SKY SHOW跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | HARMONY AND RICH 0.56.24 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 11 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | LOVING A BOOM TT Z Purton · R Gibson | Z Purton | R Gibson | 12 | 5.3 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | SKY SHOW TT1 J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 9 | 2.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | MOMENTUM GALAXY B A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 7 | 41.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | LARSON B/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 6 | 7.6 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | MR LUMIERES V1 K C Leung · D J Hall | K C Leung | D J Hall | 2 | 22.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | WINNING BREW B-/CP1 C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 1 | 31.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 7 | NORDIC WELLSTAR A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 5 | 4.2 | 5 |
| 9 | 2 | MEGA HEART XB/TT N Callan · C W Chang | N Callan | C W Chang | 10 | 63.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | HAPPY GOOD GUYS B C Wong · P F Yiu | C Wong | P F Yiu | 8 | 58.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 5 | SINCERE BOY B H W Lai · P O'Sullivan | H W Lai | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 282.0 | 12 |
| 12 | 6 | ETERNAL BEAUTY TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 3 | 184.0 | 12-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SKY SHOW | 31.6% | 3.17 | 3 |
| 2 | 7 | NORDIC WELLSTAR | 15.1% | 6.60 | 8 |
| 3 | 1 | LOVING A BOOM | 9.8% | 10.24 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | WINNING BREW | 9.0% | 11.13 | 7 |
| 5 | 3 | LARSON | 7.9% | 12.65 | 5 |
| 6 | 10 | MOMENTUM GALAXY | 6.0% | 16.59 | 4 |
| 7 | 8 | HAPPY GOOD GUYS | 4.7% | 21.14 | 10 |
| 8 | 2 | MEGA HEART | 4.7% | 21.22 | 9 |
| 9 | 4 | HARMONY AND RICH | 4.2% | 23.60 | 1 |
| 10 | 9 | MR LUMIERES | 3.2% | 30.90 | 6 |
| 11 | 5 | SINCERE BOY | 2.9% | 34.11 | 11 |
| 12 | 6 | ETERNAL BEAUTY | 0.8% | 130.52 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 116.5
PLACE
1 16
4 33
11 14
QUINELLA
1,4 350
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 92
1,11 29
4,11 56
FORECAST
4,1 1,079
TIERCE
4,1,11 2,713
TRIO
1,4,11 277
FIRST 4
1,4,10,11 1,197
QUARTET
4,1,11,10 35,296
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,6,9/1,4,11 252,557
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 54.5
6TH DOUBLE
1/1 110
1/4 2,424.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,2,6/1,6,9/Any Combination 87,927