沙田 · 2021-04-05
第 1場
2021-04-05沙田第1場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K C Leung策騎、P F Yiu訓練的PLEASANT ENDEAVOR勝出，贏出SH。MONSTER KAKA獲得亞軍；SIGHT HERO獲得季軍。頭馬以3.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR 1.09.70 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 4 | 3.5 | SH |
| 2 | 8 | MONSTER KAKA TT2 J Moreira · D J Hall | J Moreira | D J Hall | 8 | 9.2 | SH |
| 3 | 11 | SIGHT HERO CP C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 12 | 7.8 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | ELIGERE B H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 14 | 19.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 6 | THUNDERSTRIKE H1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 3 | 8.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | HAPPY GATHERING N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 1 | 6.5 | 2 |
| 7 | 3 | ALL YOU KNOW B/TT M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 6 | 34.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 12 | BRILLIANT CHINA B/TT V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 7 | 36.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | PRIME STAR TT1 T Piccone · A T Millard | T Piccone | A T Millard | 5 | 143.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 14 | DAZZLING FEELING B1/TT K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 10 | 9.2 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | VICTORY MORE H1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 61.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | WON BALL TT Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 13 | 6.4 | 5-1/2 |
| 13 | 4 | HERE WE GO H R Maia · L Ho | R Maia | L Ho | 2 | 82.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 13 | DESTINE JEWELLERY B M L Yeung · J Size | M L Yeung | J Size | 11 | 46.0 | 9-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | MONSTER KAKA | 15.9% | 6.30 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR | 15.0% | 6.66 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | WON BALL | 14.2% | 7.06 | 12 |
| 4 | 11 | SIGHT HERO | 10.3% | 9.74 | 3 |
| 5 | 7 | VICTORY MORE | 6.9% | 14.60 | 11 |
| 6 | 6 | THUNDERSTRIKE | 6.8% | 14.64 | 5 |
| 7 | 5 | PRIME STAR | 5.9% | 17.00 | 9 |
| 8 | 3 | ALL YOU KNOW | 5.7% | 17.47 | 7 |
| 9 | 13 | DESTINE JEWELLERY | 5.4% | 18.67 | 14 |
| 10 | 10 | HAPPY GATHERING | 4.6% | 21.89 | 6 |
| 11 | 2 | ELIGERE | 4.2% | 23.55 | 4 |
| 12 | 14 | DAZZLING FEELING | 3.4% | 29.17 | 10 |
| 13 | 12 | BRILLIANT CHINA | 1.2% | 84.33 | 8 |
| 14 | 4 | HERE WE GO | 0.6% | 168.25 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 35.5
PLACE
1 14
8 26.5
11 29.5
QUINELLA
1,8 158.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 63
1,11 81.5
8,11 139
FORECAST
1,8 241
TIERCE
1,8,11 2,559
TRIO
1,8,11 566
FIRST 4
1,2,8,11 2,142
QUARTET
1,8,11,2 29,725
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 25.5
A3 —