沙田 · 2021-04-05
第 6場
2021-04-05沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、C H Yip訓練的SUPER WINNER勝出，贏出N。GRACYLOVE獲得亞軍；SUPER RED DRAGON獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。頭馬以1.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SUPER WINNER 一路領先 TT 1.21.53 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · C H Yip | J Moreira | C H Yip | 1 | 1.6 | N |
| 2 | 11 | GRACYLOVE Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 6 | 4.0 | N |
| 3 | 2 | SUPER RED DRAGON 後段發力 B/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 3 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | SUNNY BABY 後段發力 B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 5 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | SUPER FAST XB T Piccone · K W Lui | T Piccone | K W Lui | 2 | 42.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | FA FA 後段發力 C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 9 | 138.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | GOLDEN BOLT XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 4 | 176.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 12 | ALL JOYFUL 後段發力 R Maia · T P Yung | R Maia | T P Yung | 10 | 44.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | AMAZING BOY 後段發力 TT H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 12 | 161.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 13 | CHAMPION PRIDE B/TT K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 7 | 19.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 6 | CHEEKY PRAWN E1 V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 13 | 88.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 12 | 14 | SHANGHAI GRACE M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 14 | 46.0 | 13 |
| 13 | 9 | FORMULA EXCEL K C Leung · C Fownes | K C Leung | C Fownes | 11 | 159.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 14 | 8 | BULLISH UNICORN CP/H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 8 | 175.0 | 51-1/4 |
| — | 0 | CIRCUIT HERO K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SUPER WINNER | 42.0% | 2.38 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | GRACYLOVE | 25.4% | 3.94 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | SUPER RED DRAGON | 6.6% | 15.11 | 3 |
| 4 | 14 | SHANGHAI GRACE | 4.7% | 21.32 | 12 |
| 5 | 3 | SUPER FAST | 4.1% | 24.18 | 5 |
| 6 | 12 | ALL JOYFUL | 4.0% | 24.95 | 8 |
| 7 | 13 | CHAMPION PRIDE | 2.7% | 36.94 | 10 |
| 8 | 6 | CHEEKY PRAWN | 2.4% | 41.59 | 11 |
| 9 | 7 | SUNNY BABY | 2.2% | 45.03 | 4 |
| 10 | 5 | FA FA | 1.8% | 57.03 | 6 |
| 11 | 4 | AMAZING BOY | 1.4% | 71.28 | 9 |
| 12 | 10 | GOLDEN BOLT | 1.2% | 81.58 | 7 |
| 13 | 9 | FORMULA EXCEL | 0.9% | 111.22 | 13 |
| 14 | 8 | BULLISH UNICORN | 0.6% | 167.06 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 16
PLACE
1 10.5
2 18.5
11 15.5
QUINELLA
1,11 32.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 27
1,11 16
2,11 40.5
FORECAST
1,11 43
TIERCE
1,11,2 121
TRIO
1,2,11 43
FIRST 4
1,2,7,11 97
QUARTET
1,11,2,7 669
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 11.5
A3 —
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
5/1 112.5
5/11 28.5
TRIPLE TRIO
1,10,12/5,9,11/1,2,11 2,225
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,10,12/5,9,11/Any Combination 44