沙田 · 2021-04-05
第 10場
2021-04-05沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由C L Chau策騎、D J Whyte訓練的PRIVATE ROCKET勝出，贏出SH。KASI FARASI獲得亞軍；PERFECT TO GREAT獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.1倍大熱門KASI FARASI跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | PRIVATE ROCKET 後段發力 CP-/XB/SR1 1.21.80 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 11 | 8.1 | SH |
| 2 | 11 | KASI FARASI 後段發力 J Moreira · C H Yip | J Moreira | C H Yip | 2 | 3.1 | SH |
| 3 | 4 | PERFECT TO GREAT 後段發力 V K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 3 | 6.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | WINNING FOR ALL 後段發力 B/H/XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 13.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 12 | PIANO SOLO 後段發力 V Borges · C S Shum | V Borges | C S Shum | 5 | 47.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 13 | SMART FOLKS B A Badel · C W Chang | A Badel | C W Chang | 8 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | ALL FOR SOUTH 早段領放 B Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 12 | 6.7 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | BEAUTY RUSH E C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 14 | 9.9 | 9 |
| 9 | 14 | SWIFT SPIRIT 後段發力 B/XB/TT H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 10 | 83.0 | 10 |
| 10 | 3 | SMART LEADER 後段發力 B/TT C Wong · W Y So | C Wong | W Y So | 13 | 84.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | KA YING EXCELLENT CP/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 9 | 10.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | ENZEMBLE 後段發力 H/XB K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 7 | 46.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 13 | 10 | ETERNAL BEAUTY TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 1 | 62.0 | 17-1/4 |
| 14 | 9 | SINCERE BOY B M L Yeung · P O'Sullivan | M L Yeung | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 99.0 | 19-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | KASI FARASI | 26.5% | 3.77 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | ALL FOR SOUTH | 19.7% | 5.07 | 7 |
| 3 | 4 | PERFECT TO GREAT | 19.2% | 5.21 | 3 |
| 4 | 8 | KA YING EXCELLENT | 7.1% | 14.05 | 11 |
| 5 | 1 | BEAUTY RUSH | 5.9% | 16.85 | 8 |
| 6 | 5 | PRIVATE ROCKET | 4.3% | 23.36 | 1 |
| 7 | 2 | WINNING FOR ALL | 4.2% | 23.64 | 4 |
| 8 | 13 | SMART FOLKS | 2.8% | 35.45 | 6 |
| 9 | 7 | ENZEMBLE | 2.6% | 38.52 | 12 |
| 10 | 3 | SMART LEADER | 2.3% | 42.96 | 10 |
| 11 | 12 | PIANO SOLO | 2.2% | 44.51 | 5 |
| 12 | 9 | SINCERE BOY | 1.9% | 53.34 | 14 |
| 13 | 10 | ETERNAL BEAUTY | 0.6% | 167.89 | 13 |
| 14 | 14 | SWIFT SPIRIT | 0.5% | 183.71 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 81.5
PLACE
4 19
5 30
11 13.5
QUINELLA
5,11 132.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 96
4,11 42
5,11 52.5
FORECAST
5,11 505
TIERCE
5,11,4 1,529
TRIO
4,5,11 214
FIRST 4
2,4,5,11 375
QUARTET
5,11,4,2 10,821
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 31.5
A1 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
8,9,11/4,5,11 924,836
9TH DOUBLE
9/5 15,272.5
9/11 1,330
SIX UP
5/1/2/8/9/5 3,096,928
5,11/1,11/2,6/8,10/8,9/5,11 9,143
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
8/9/5 59,812
8/9/11 4,720