Sha Tin · 2021-04-05
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PRIVATE ROCKET Closed strongly CP-/XB/SR1 1.21.80 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 11 | 8.1 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | KASI FARASI Closed strongly J Moreira · C H Yip | J Moreira | C H Yip | 2 | 3.1 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | PERFECT TO GREAT Closed strongly V K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 3 | 6.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | WINNING FOR ALL Closed strongly B/H/XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 13.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | PIANO SOLO Closed strongly V Borges · C S Shum | V Borges | C S Shum | 5 | 47.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | SMART FOLKS B A Badel · C W Chang | A Badel | C W Chang | 8 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | ALL FOR SOUTH Led early B Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 12 | 6.7 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | BEAUTY RUSH E C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 14 | 9.9 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | SWIFT SPIRIT Closed strongly B/XB/TT H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 10 | 83.0 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | SMART LEADER Closed strongly B/TT C Wong · W Y So | C Wong | W Y So | 13 | 84.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | KA YING EXCELLENT CP/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 9 | 10.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | ENZEMBLE Closed strongly H/XB K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 7 | 46.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | ETERNAL BEAUTY TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 1 | 62.0 | 17-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | SINCERE BOY B M L Yeung · P O'Sullivan | M L Yeung | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 99.0 | 19-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2021-04-05 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. PRIVATE ROCKET, ridden by C L Chau and trained by D J Whyte, won by SH, with KASI FARASI second and PERFECT TO GREAT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite KASI FARASI finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | KASI FARASI | 26.5% | 3.77 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | ALL FOR SOUTH | 19.7% | 5.07 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | PERFECT TO GREAT | 19.2% | 5.21 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | KA YING EXCELLENT | 7.1% | 14.05 | 11 |
| 5 | 0 | BEAUTY RUSH | 5.9% | 16.85 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | PRIVATE ROCKET | 4.3% | 23.36 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | WINNING FOR ALL | 4.2% | 23.64 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | SMART FOLKS | 2.8% | 35.45 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | ENZEMBLE | 2.6% | 38.52 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | SMART LEADER | 2.3% | 42.96 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | PIANO SOLO | 2.2% | 44.51 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | SINCERE BOY | 1.9% | 53.34 | 14 |
| 13 | 0 | ETERNAL BEAUTY | 0.6% | 167.89 | 13 |
| 14 | 0 | SWIFT SPIRIT | 0.5% | 183.71 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 81.5
PLACE
4 19
5 30
11 13.5
QUINELLA
5,11 132.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 96
4,11 42
5,11 52.5
FORECAST
5,11 505
TIERCE
5,11,4 1,529
TRIO
4,5,11 214
FIRST 4
2,4,5,11 375
QUARTET
5,11,4,2 10,821
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 31.5
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
8,9,11/4,5,11 924,836
9TH DOUBLE
9/5 15,272.5
9/11 1,330
SIX UP
5/1/2/8/9/5 3,096,928
5,11/1,11/2,6/8,10/8,9/5,11 9,143
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
8/9/5 59,812
8/9/11 4,720