Sha Tin · 2021-04-05
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2021-04-05 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. TRADER, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1-3/4, with PARTY GENIUS second and LUCKY QUALITY third. Victory came as the 1.9 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | TRADER CP1 1.09.61 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 11 | 1.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 12 | PARTY GENIUS CP/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 9 | 6.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | LUCKY QUALITY K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 8 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | DURHAM STAR C Schofield · P O'Sullivan | C Schofield | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | DARCI JOY N Callan · P F Yiu | N Callan | P F Yiu | 3 | 20.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | TEAM GOODLUCK V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 4 | 77.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | BEAUTY CHEERS E1 J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 12 | 8.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | HONEST WAY CP/TT C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 7 | 9.3 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | CORDYCEPS ONE H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 13 | 190.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 14 | U W BROTHER B2 C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 10 | 108.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | SUPER FLAMES M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 1 | 178.0 | 13 |
| 12 | 7 | LUCKY TREASURE TT1 K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 6 | 209.0 | 13 |
| 13 | 11 | FIGURES TWO T Piccone · A T Millard | T Piccone | A T Millard | 5 | 228.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 14 | 13 | HOT CHILI PEPPER B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 14 | 15.0 | 18-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | BEAUTY CHEERS | 34.9% | 2.86 | 7 |
| 2 | 10 | TRADER | 15.3% | 6.55 | 1 |
| 3 | 12 | PARTY GENIUS | 8.7% | 11.54 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | DURHAM STAR | 7.8% | 12.77 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | LUCKY QUALITY | 7.1% | 13.99 | 3 |
| 6 | 9 | TEAM GOODLUCK | 5.0% | 20.07 | 6 |
| 7 | 13 | HOT CHILI PEPPER | 4.8% | 21.02 | 14 |
| 8 | 2 | HONEST WAY | 4.5% | 22.01 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | DARCI JOY | 4.2% | 23.86 | 5 |
| 10 | 14 | U W BROTHER | 3.3% | 30.33 | 10 |
| 11 | 8 | SUPER FLAMES | 1.7% | 59.61 | 11 |
| 12 | 4 | CORDYCEPS ONE | 1.5% | 65.37 | 9 |
| 13 | 11 | FIGURES TWO | 0.6% | 165.46 | 13 |
| 14 | 7 | LUCKY TREASURE | 0.5% | 183.10 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 19.5
PLACE
1 27.5
10 11
12 19
QUINELLA
10,12 64
QUINELLA PLACE
1,10 55.5
1,12 90.5
10,12 28.5
FORECAST
10,12 110
TIERCE
10,12,1 619
TRIO
1,10,12 207
FIRST 4
1,6,10,12 409
QUARTET
10,12,1,6 4,431
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,5/1,10,12 5,007
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 16
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
4/10 551.5
4/12 144.5