Sha Tin · 2021-04-05
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2021-04-05 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. REGENCY BO BO, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won by N, with KILLER BEE second and DECISIVE TWELVE third. The 1.9 favourite KILLER BEE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | REGENCY BO BO B/TT 1.09.38 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 1 | 4.1 | N |
| 2 | 11 | KILLER BEE TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 8 | 1.9 | N |
| 3 | 9 | DECISIVE TWELVE TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 3 | 4.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | NOBLE STEED B V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 4 | 78.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | TORNADO TWIST B/TT B Shinn · F C Lor | B Shinn | F C Lor | 5 | 17.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | UTOPIA LIFE V K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 9 | 145.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | FLYING SWORD CP/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 2 | 39.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 1 | YO BEAUTY TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 10 | 52.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 7 | TAKING AIM SR C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 7 | 20.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | LOYAL BABY M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 11 | 43.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | EUROMISSILE XB/TT A Badel · C W Chang | A Badel | C W Chang | 6 | 59.0 | 9-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | KILLER BEE | 60.2% | 1.66 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | REGENCY BO BO | 12.3% | 8.11 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | DECISIVE TWELVE | 10.8% | 9.29 | 3 |
| 4 | 10 | FLYING SWORD | 3.4% | 29.28 | 7 |
| 5 | 7 | TAKING AIM | 2.8% | 36.05 | 9 |
| 6 | 3 | TORNADO TWIST | 2.6% | 38.91 | 5 |
| 7 | 8 | LOYAL BABY | 2.1% | 46.85 | 10 |
| 8 | 4 | UTOPIA LIFE | 2.1% | 48.27 | 6 |
| 9 | 6 | EUROMISSILE | 1.6% | 62.64 | 11 |
| 10 | 2 | NOBLE STEED | 1.6% | 64.22 | 4 |
| 11 | 1 | YO BEAUTY | 0.6% | 164.77 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 41.5
PLACE
5 13.5
9 13
11 11.5
QUINELLA
5,11 42
QUINELLA PLACE
5,9 23.5
5,11 21
9,11 17.5
FORECAST
5,11 133
TIERCE
5,11,9 267
TRIO
5,9,11 31
FIRST 4
2,5,9,11 264
QUARTET
5,11,9,2 5,238
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 29
4TH DOUBLE
10/5 113.5
10/11 10.5