Sha Tin · 2021-04-05
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2021-04-05 was Group 2 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. MIGHTY GIANT, ridden by N Callan and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1/2, with SOUTHERN LEGEND second and MORE THAN THIS third. The winner led throughout. The 1.6 favourite WAIKUKU finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | MIGHTY GIANT Wire to wire B 1.35.06 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) N Callan · P F Yiu | N Callan | P F Yiu | 2 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | SOUTHERN LEGEND TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 4 | 3.6 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | MORE THAN THIS Closed strongly K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 5 | 5.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | CHAMPION'S WAY P/TT C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 1 | 17.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | WAIKUKU J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 3 | 1.6 | 18-1/2 |
| — | 3 | KA YING STAR Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | WAIKUKU | 47.2% | 2.12 | 5 |
| 2 | 1 | SOUTHERN LEGEND | 22.6% | 4.43 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | MORE THAN THIS | 14.8% | 6.75 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | CHAMPION'S WAY | 8.7% | 11.48 | 4 |
| 5 | 4 | MIGHTY GIANT | 6.7% | 14.86 | 1 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 126
PLACE
1 14
4 42
QUINELLA
1,4 122
FORECAST
4,1 499
TIERCE
4,1,5 1,274
TRIO
1,4,5 214
- —
2ND DOUBLE
1/1 19.5
1/4 438