Sha Tin · 2021-04-05
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2021-04-05 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. HURRY HURRY GAIN, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by F C Lor, won by 1/2, with SKY SHOW second and BIZ POWER third. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | HURRY HURRY GAIN 1.09.17 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 5 | 2.7 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 10 | SKY SHOW TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 11 | 5.7 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | BIZ POWER B M F Poon · P O'Sullivan | M F Poon | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 15.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | STORM WARNINGS CP/SR/TT A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 3 | 7.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | WINSTON'S LAD B V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 1 | 43.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | MIG ENERGY XB/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 7 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | MOST WELCOME CP R Maia · D A Hayes | R Maia | D A Hayes | 10 | 37.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | SIMPLY SPECTACULAR H H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 9 | 37.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | ENCOURAGED B1 K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 8 | 156.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | TEAM POWER K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 4 | 8.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | KA YING MASTER B1/TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 6 | 5.5 | 17-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | KA YING MASTER | 22.6% | 4.43 | 11 |
| 2 | 10 | SKY SHOW | 22.1% | 4.53 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | HURRY HURRY GAIN | 15.1% | 6.60 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | STORM WARNINGS | 8.7% | 11.46 | 4 |
| 5 | 11 | TEAM POWER | 8.3% | 12.01 | 10 |
| 6 | 7 | BIZ POWER | 7.0% | 14.25 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | SIMPLY SPECTACULAR | 5.1% | 19.65 | 8 |
| 8 | 3 | MIG ENERGY | 4.5% | 22.25 | 6 |
| 9 | 5 | MOST WELCOME | 2.4% | 42.18 | 7 |
| 10 | 4 | ENCOURAGED | 2.1% | 47.10 | 9 |
| 11 | 6 | WINSTON'S LAD | 2.1% | 48.66 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 27.5
PLACE
7 31.5
8 14.5
10 19.5
QUINELLA
8,10 80.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 65.5
7,10 125
8,10 36.5
FORECAST
8,10 145
TIERCE
8,10,7 1,139
TRIO
7,8,10 516
FIRST 4
2,7,8,10 442
QUARTET
8,10,7,2 6,581
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 20
A3 —
7TH DOUBLE
2/8 416
2/10 141.5