Sha Tin · 2021-04-05
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GLORIOUS DRAGON Closed strongly TT 2.01.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 8 | 3.3 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | BUTTERFIELD Closed strongly TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 4 | 3.3 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | HELENE LEADINGSTAR Closed strongly XB/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 1 | 5.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | COLUMBUS COUNTY Closed strongly H-/TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 9 | 8.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | HO HO KHAN Closed strongly B C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 5 | 18.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | TIME WARP Led early TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 3 | 8.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SAVVY NINE XB/SR1 M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 7 | 25.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | PLAYA DEL PUENTE SR/TT- K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 2 | 14.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | CHEFANO B-/XB-/CP2 R Maia · P O'Sullivan | R Maia | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 49.0 | 10-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2021-04-05 was Class 1 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. GLORIOUS DRAGON, ridden by M F Poon and trained by K W Lui, won by 1, with BUTTERFIELD second and HELENE LEADINGSTAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.3 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HELENE LEADINGSTAR | 29.3% | 3.42 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | TIME WARP | 21.2% | 4.71 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | BUTTERFIELD | 16.4% | 6.10 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | GLORIOUS DRAGON | 11.4% | 8.74 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | HO HO KHAN | 6.8% | 14.74 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | COLUMBUS COUNTY | 5.7% | 17.57 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | SAVVY NINE | 4.8% | 20.97 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | PLAYA DEL PUENTE | 2.8% | 36.01 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | CHEFANO | 1.7% | 60.17 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 33
PLACE
1 13
6 13
9 18.5
QUINELLA
1,6 90.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 26.5
1,9 42
6,9 31.5
FORECAST
1,6 109
TIERCE
1,6,9 406
TRIO
1,6,9 124
FIRST 4
1,2,6,9 82
QUARTET
1,6,9,2 1,227
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
1/1 82
1/6 41
3 PICK 1
A1 24
A2 —
A3 —