Sha Tin · 2021-04-05
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2021-04-05 was Group 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. AMAZING STAR, ridden by V Borges and trained by K H Ting, won by SH, with STRONGER second and BEAUTY APPLAUSE third. The 2.8 favourite WELLINGTON finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | AMAZING STAR 1.08.24 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) V Borges · K H Ting | V Borges | K H Ting | 2 | 179.0 | SH |
| 2 | 8 | STRONGER CP/XB/TT C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 8 | 24.0 | SH |
| 3 | 11 | BEAUTY APPLAUSE TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 7 | 5.3 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | WISHFUL THINKER K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 4 | 22.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | WELLINGTON XB A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 12 | 2.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | COMPUTER PATCH TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 9 | 8.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | VOYAGE WARRIOR V R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 11 | 35.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 4 | BIG PARTY K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 3 | 20.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | SKY FIELD TT Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 10 | 4.7 | 5 |
| 10 | 5 | FAT TURTLE B C Schofield · F C Lor | C Schofield | F C Lor | 5 | 26.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 13 | WINNING DREAMER M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 6 | 9.6 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | BUDDIES H/TT B Shinn · A S Cruz | B Shinn | A S Cruz | 1 | 111.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 6 | REGENCY LEGEND TT T Piccone · C S Shum | T Piccone | C S Shum | 13 | 45.0 | 8-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | WELLINGTON | 36.0% | 2.78 | 5 |
| 2 | 12 | SKY FIELD | 13.8% | 7.25 | 9 |
| 3 | 11 | BEAUTY APPLAUSE | 13.6% | 7.37 | 3 |
| 4 | 13 | WINNING DREAMER | 7.6% | 13.15 | 11 |
| 5 | 2 | COMPUTER PATCH | 6.3% | 15.93 | 6 |
| 6 | 8 | STRONGER | 4.6% | 21.81 | 2 |
| 7 | 4 | BIG PARTY | 3.7% | 27.11 | 8 |
| 8 | 5 | FAT TURTLE | 3.2% | 31.16 | 10 |
| 9 | 6 | REGENCY LEGEND | 2.9% | 34.50 | 13 |
| 10 | 7 | VOYAGE WARRIOR | 2.7% | 36.41 | 7 |
| 11 | 1 | WISHFUL THINKER | 2.7% | 36.66 | 4 |
| 12 | 9 | AMAZING STAR | 1.6% | 64.10 | 1 |
| 13 | 10 | BUDDIES | 1.4% | 73.00 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 1,796.5
PLACE
8 58.5
9 347.5
11 18
QUINELLA
8,9 9,937.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,9 2,853.5
8,11 231
9,11 1,305.5
FORECAST
9,8 11,732
TIERCE
9,8,11 191,574
TRIO
8,9,11 23,966
FIRST 4
1,8,9,11 45,915
QUARTET
9,8,11,1 1,632,689
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 33
8TH DOUBLE
8/8 146
8/9 3,245
WINNING TRAINER
B1 —
B3 —
B2 —
B4 18.5