沙田 · 2021-04-05
第 9場
2021-04-05沙田第9場，Group 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由V Borges策騎、K H Ting訓練的AMAZING STAR勝出，贏出SH。STRONGER獲得亞軍；BEAUTY APPLAUSE獲得季軍。2.8倍大熱門WELLINGTON跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | AMAZING STAR 1.08.24 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） V Borges · K H Ting | V Borges | K H Ting | 2 | 179.0 | SH |
| 2 | 8 | STRONGER CP/XB/TT C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 8 | 24.0 | SH |
| 3 | 11 | BEAUTY APPLAUSE TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 7 | 5.3 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | WISHFUL THINKER K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 4 | 22.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | WELLINGTON XB A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 12 | 2.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | COMPUTER PATCH TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 9 | 8.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | VOYAGE WARRIOR V R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 11 | 35.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 4 | BIG PARTY K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 3 | 20.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | SKY FIELD TT Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 10 | 4.7 | 5 |
| 10 | 5 | FAT TURTLE B C Schofield · F C Lor | C Schofield | F C Lor | 5 | 26.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 13 | WINNING DREAMER M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 6 | 9.6 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | BUDDIES H/TT B Shinn · A S Cruz | B Shinn | A S Cruz | 1 | 111.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 6 | REGENCY LEGEND TT T Piccone · C S Shum | T Piccone | C S Shum | 13 | 45.0 | 8-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | WELLINGTON | 36.0% | 2.78 | 5 |
| 2 | 12 | SKY FIELD | 13.8% | 7.25 | 9 |
| 3 | 11 | BEAUTY APPLAUSE | 13.6% | 7.37 | 3 |
| 4 | 13 | WINNING DREAMER | 7.6% | 13.15 | 11 |
| 5 | 2 | COMPUTER PATCH | 6.3% | 15.93 | 6 |
| 6 | 8 | STRONGER | 4.6% | 21.81 | 2 |
| 7 | 4 | BIG PARTY | 3.7% | 27.11 | 8 |
| 8 | 5 | FAT TURTLE | 3.2% | 31.16 | 10 |
| 9 | 6 | REGENCY LEGEND | 2.9% | 34.50 | 13 |
| 10 | 7 | VOYAGE WARRIOR | 2.7% | 36.41 | 7 |
| 11 | 1 | WISHFUL THINKER | 2.7% | 36.66 | 4 |
| 12 | 9 | AMAZING STAR | 1.6% | 64.10 | 1 |
| 13 | 10 | BUDDIES | 1.4% | 73.00 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 1,796.5
PLACE
8 58.5
9 347.5
11 18
QUINELLA
8,9 9,937.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,9 2,853.5
8,11 231
9,11 1,305.5
FORECAST
9,8 11,732
TIERCE
9,8,11 191,574
TRIO
8,9,11 23,966
FIRST 4
1,8,9,11 45,915
QUARTET
9,8,11,1 1,632,689
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 33
8TH DOUBLE
8/8 146
8/9 3,245
WINNING TRAINER
B1 —
B3 —
B2 —
B4 18.5