Sha Tin · 2021-04-05
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2021-04-05 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. MALDIVES, ridden by B Shinn and trained by D J Hall, won by 1/2, with EL JEFE second and TOYCOON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite VUKAN finished 9th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MALDIVES Closed strongly SR-/XB 1.34.60 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 3 | 13.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | EL JEFE Closed strongly XB/TT J Moreira · C H Yip | J Moreira | C H Yip | 6 | 4.9 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | TOYCOON Closed strongly C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 1 | 7.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | PURE LEGEND V K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 4 | 8.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 14 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 14 | 36.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 10 | COPARTNER ERA Closed strongly B M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 10 | 41.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 3 | LEADING FORTUNE Closed strongly Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 9 | 4.7 | 4 |
| 8 | 8 | ON EXCEL STAR XB R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 13 | 117.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 5 | VUKAN K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 4.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 7 | STRATHMARTINE T Piccone · A T Millard | T Piccone | A T Millard | 7 | 62.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 12 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND Led early TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 2 | 24.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 12 | 13 | DAILY CHARM B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 12 | 11.0 | 15-1/4 |
| 13 | 9 | RUN DES RUN B1/TT1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 121.0 | 19-3/4 |
| 14 | 11 | HOLYSHOWCASING B- V Borges · D E Ferraris | V Borges | D E Ferraris | 8 | 230.0 | 40-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | EL JEFE | 20.9% | 4.79 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | VUKAN | 16.4% | 6.09 | 9 |
| 3 | 2 | MALDIVES | 10.3% | 9.67 | 1 |
| 4 | 13 | DAILY CHARM | 9.8% | 10.23 | 12 |
| 5 | 3 | LEADING FORTUNE | 9.6% | 10.47 | 7 |
| 6 | 4 | TOYCOON | 8.9% | 11.22 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | PURE LEGEND | 7.2% | 13.88 | 4 |
| 8 | 14 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT | 5.5% | 18.20 | 5 |
| 9 | 10 | COPARTNER ERA | 3.4% | 29.56 | 6 |
| 10 | 12 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND | 2.7% | 36.91 | 11 |
| 11 | 8 | ON EXCEL STAR | 1.9% | 51.59 | 8 |
| 12 | 7 | STRATHMARTINE | 1.6% | 63.79 | 10 |
| 13 | 9 | RUN DES RUN | 1.1% | 90.55 | 13 |
| 14 | 11 | HOLYSHOWCASING | 0.7% | 142.15 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 132.5
PLACE
2 29.5
4 24
6 17.5
QUINELLA
2,6 284
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 130
2,6 93
4,6 70.5
FORECAST
2,6 868
TIERCE
2,6,4 5,944
TRIO
2,4,6 786
FIRST 4
1,2,4,6 1,082
QUARTET
2,6,4,1 31,618
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,11/2,4,6 6,491
3 PICK 1
A3 34.5
A1 —
A2 —
6TH DOUBLE
1/2 157.5
1/6 13