沙田 · 2021-04-17
第 8場
2021-04-17沙田第8場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由T Piccone策騎、R Gibson訓練的UNICORNBABY勝出，贏出1-3/4。DRAGON FORTUNE獲得亞軍；ZONE D獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。3.1倍大熱門DRAGON FORTUNE跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | UNICORNBABY 一路領先 B/TT 1.22.35 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） T Piccone · R Gibson | T Piccone | R Gibson | 13 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 5 | DRAGON FORTUNE 後段發力 TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 10 | 3.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | ZONE D 後段發力 H/P/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 11 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 8 | SO AWESOME B J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 6 | 4.3 | 5-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | CHARGE ON 後段發力 B C L Chau · D J Hall | C L Chau | D J Hall | 12 | 9.7 | 5-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | SPEED FAY FAY B K H Chan · T P Yung | K H Chan | T P Yung | 3 | 11.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 7 | SUPERB DADDY 後段發力 B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 9 | 17.0 | 7 |
| 8 | 10 | FARM BUMPER B K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 1 | 95.0 | 8 |
| 9 | 12 | AMAZING KNIGHT V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 4 | 114.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | FLYING SWORD CP/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 7 | 36.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | MERCURIAL H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 2 | 7.8 | 12-3/4 |
| 12 | 13 | RUN DES RUN 後段發力 B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 14 | 163.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 13 | 11 | IRON KING H/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 5 | 12.0 | 15-3/4 |
| 14 | 14 | FOCUS B C Wong · P F Yiu | C Wong | P F Yiu | 8 | 187.0 | 23-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SO AWESOME | 21.1% | 4.73 | 4 |
| 2 | 5 | DRAGON FORTUNE | 14.7% | 6.80 | 2 |
| 3 | 11 | IRON KING | 13.4% | 7.48 | 13 |
| 4 | 6 | MERCURIAL | 12.3% | 8.12 | 11 |
| 5 | 4 | ZONE D | 9.6% | 10.41 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | SPEED FAY FAY | 6.6% | 15.15 | 6 |
| 7 | 9 | UNICORNBABY | 5.3% | 18.73 | 1 |
| 8 | 1 | CHARGE ON | 4.7% | 21.07 | 5 |
| 9 | 7 | SUPERB DADDY | 4.0% | 25.00 | 7 |
| 10 | 2 | FLYING SWORD | 3.3% | 30.58 | 10 |
| 11 | 10 | FARM BUMPER | 2.1% | 47.89 | 8 |
| 12 | 14 | FOCUS | 1.1% | 88.49 | 14 |
| 13 | 12 | AMAZING KNIGHT | 1.1% | 92.70 | 9 |
| 14 | 13 | RUN DES RUN | 0.6% | 155.41 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 127
PLACE
4 44
5 13.5
9 36
QUINELLA
5,9 235
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 105
4,9 369
5,9 89.5
FORECAST
9,5 511
TIERCE
9,5,4 12,964
TRIO
4,5,9 1,459
FIRST 4
4,5,8,9 1,417
QUARTET
9,5,4,8 48,980
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 26
7TH DOUBLE
11/5 66
11/9 1,547.5