Sha Tin · 2021-04-17
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2021-04-17 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. UNICORNBABY, ridden by T Piccone and trained by R Gibson, won by 1-3/4, with DRAGON FORTUNE second and ZONE D third. The winner led throughout. The 3.1 favourite DRAGON FORTUNE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | UNICORNBABY Wire to wire B/TT 1.22.35 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) T Piccone · R Gibson | T Piccone | R Gibson | 13 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 5 | DRAGON FORTUNE Closed strongly TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 10 | 3.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | ZONE D Closed strongly H/P/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 11 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 8 | SO AWESOME B J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 6 | 4.3 | 5-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | CHARGE ON Closed strongly B C L Chau · D J Hall | C L Chau | D J Hall | 12 | 9.7 | 5-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | SPEED FAY FAY B K H Chan · T P Yung | K H Chan | T P Yung | 3 | 11.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 7 | SUPERB DADDY Closed strongly B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 9 | 17.0 | 7 |
| 8 | 10 | FARM BUMPER B K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 1 | 95.0 | 8 |
| 9 | 12 | AMAZING KNIGHT V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 4 | 114.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | FLYING SWORD CP/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 7 | 36.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | MERCURIAL H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 2 | 7.8 | 12-3/4 |
| 12 | 13 | RUN DES RUN Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 14 | 163.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 13 | 11 | IRON KING H/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 5 | 12.0 | 15-3/4 |
| 14 | 14 | FOCUS B C Wong · P F Yiu | C Wong | P F Yiu | 8 | 187.0 | 23-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SO AWESOME | 21.1% | 4.73 | 4 |
| 2 | 5 | DRAGON FORTUNE | 14.7% | 6.80 | 2 |
| 3 | 11 | IRON KING | 13.4% | 7.48 | 13 |
| 4 | 6 | MERCURIAL | 12.3% | 8.12 | 11 |
| 5 | 4 | ZONE D | 9.6% | 10.41 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | SPEED FAY FAY | 6.6% | 15.15 | 6 |
| 7 | 9 | UNICORNBABY | 5.3% | 18.73 | 1 |
| 8 | 1 | CHARGE ON | 4.7% | 21.07 | 5 |
| 9 | 7 | SUPERB DADDY | 4.0% | 25.00 | 7 |
| 10 | 2 | FLYING SWORD | 3.3% | 30.58 | 10 |
| 11 | 10 | FARM BUMPER | 2.1% | 47.89 | 8 |
| 12 | 14 | FOCUS | 1.1% | 88.49 | 14 |
| 13 | 12 | AMAZING KNIGHT | 1.1% | 92.70 | 9 |
| 14 | 13 | RUN DES RUN | 0.6% | 155.41 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 127
PLACE
4 44
5 13.5
9 36
QUINELLA
5,9 235
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 105
4,9 369
5,9 89.5
FORECAST
9,5 511
TIERCE
9,5,4 12,964
TRIO
4,5,9 1,459
FIRST 4
4,5,8,9 1,417
QUARTET
9,5,4,8 48,980
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 26
7TH DOUBLE
11/5 66
11/9 1,547.5