Sha Tin · 2021-04-17
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2021-04-17 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. CARROLL STREET, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by D J Whyte, won by N, with METRO WARRIOR second and EIGHT TRIGRAMS third. Victory came as the 2.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | CARROLL STREET XB 0.56.59 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 9 | 2.0 | N |
| 2 | 4 | METRO WARRIOR B Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 6 | 7.2 | N |
| 3 | 7 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS B H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 10 | 35.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | WHEN YOU BELIEVE CP/TT A Hamelin · F C Lor | A Hamelin | F C Lor | 4 | 5.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | SUPER WIN DRAGON H1 K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 8 | 9.4 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | CIRCUIT SEVEN H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 1 | 73.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | ELON J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 5 | 6.1 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | FLYING HIGH T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 3 | 18.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | GOOD LUCK CHARM H V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 7 | 128.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | SHINY ONE B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 2 | 79.0 | 16-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | WHEN YOU BELIEVE | 33.6% | 2.97 | 4 |
| 2 | 4 | METRO WARRIOR | 19.7% | 5.08 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | ELON | 16.9% | 5.91 | 7 |
| 4 | 8 | CARROLL STREET | 14.1% | 7.11 | 1 |
| 5 | 5 | FLYING HIGH | 4.5% | 22.14 | 8 |
| 6 | 6 | SUPER WIN DRAGON | 3.8% | 26.43 | 5 |
| 7 | 7 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 3.5% | 28.29 | 3 |
| 8 | 9 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 1.6% | 62.09 | 6 |
| 9 | 10 | GOOD LUCK CHARM | 1.3% | 76.46 | 9 |
| 10 | 3 | SHINY ONE | 1.0% | 104.60 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 20
PLACE
4 17.5
7 56.5
8 12.5
QUINELLA
4,8 63.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 182
4,8 25.5
7,8 88
FORECAST
8,4 102
TIERCE
8,4,7 1,129
TRIO
4,7,8 511
FIRST 4
1,4,7,8 361
QUARTET
8,4,7,1 4,762
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
8/4 40.5
8/8 138.5
3 PICK 1
A1 15
A2 —
A3 —