Sha Tin · 2021-04-17
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2021-04-17 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. FLYING BONUS, ridden by K H Chan and trained by C H Yip, won by SH, with SKY SHOW second and HARMONY SPIRIT third. The 4.3 favourite SKY SHOW finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | FLYING BONUS P 1.09.13 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 1 | 5.9 | SH |
| 2 | 10 | SKY SHOW TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 10 | 4.3 | SH |
| 3 | 8 | HARMONY SPIRIT CP/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 2 | 5.7 | N |
| 4 | 3 | MAN STAR V K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 7 | 7.7 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | UTOPIA LIFE V-/B2 K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 6 | 8.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | NAMJONG SINGS B C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 11 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | MEGA HEART XB/TT A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 5 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | GOLFMAN STAR P Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 9 | 7.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | GUNNISON H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 8 | 19.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | LOYAL BABY H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 4 | 41.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | SINCERE BOY B H W Lai · P O'Sullivan | H W Lai | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 45.0 | 14 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SKY SHOW | 19.7% | 5.07 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | FLYING BONUS | 19.2% | 5.21 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | GOLFMAN STAR | 15.0% | 6.68 | 8 |
| 4 | 3 | MAN STAR | 14.7% | 6.82 | 4 |
| 5 | 5 | NAMJONG SINGS | 9.2% | 10.82 | 6 |
| 6 | 8 | HARMONY SPIRIT | 8.4% | 11.90 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | UTOPIA LIFE | 4.4% | 22.94 | 5 |
| 8 | 2 | MEGA HEART | 3.8% | 26.65 | 7 |
| 9 | 9 | LOYAL BABY | 2.7% | 36.82 | 10 |
| 10 | 1 | GUNNISON | 2.0% | 50.79 | 9 |
| 11 | 11 | SINCERE BOY | 1.0% | 101.34 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 59
PLACE
4 21.5
8 24.5
10 20
QUINELLA
4,10 179.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 60.5
4,10 67.5
8,10 73
FORECAST
4,10 418
TIERCE
4,10,8 2,147
TRIO
4,8,10 448
FIRST 4
3,4,8,10 340
QUARTET
4,10,8,3 9,569
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 21.5
A1 —
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
3/4 635
3/10 170.5
TRIPLE TRIO
5,7,13/1,2,3/4,8,10 1,924,309
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
5,7,13/1,2,3/Any Combination 15,868