Sha Tin · 2021-04-17
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2021-04-17 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on WET SLOW going. SO WE JOY, ridden by K C Leung and trained by D A Hayes, won by 4-1/4, with PARTY EVERYDAY second and GAMEPLAYER TIMES third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite PARTY EVERYDAY finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SO WE JOY Closed strongly TT 1.37.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 9 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 2 | 9 | PARTY EVERYDAY H/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 1 | 3.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 3 | 6 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES Closed strongly SR/XB H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 6 | 9.6 | 5-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | NOTHING NEW K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 7 | 7.9 | 6-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | CLEAR CHOICE Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 5 | 21.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | PING HAI TREASURE P A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 4 | 8.4 | 8 |
| 7 | 4 | TANGMERE TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 2 | 19.0 | 9 |
| 8 | 7 | SKYEY SUPREME Closed strongly B/TT V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 3 | 9.6 | 12 |
| 9 | 2 | STAR OF YUEN LONG Led early K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 10 | 4.9 | 12-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | XIANG YIN TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 8 | 11.0 | 13 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | PARTY EVERYDAY | 38.9% | 2.57 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | XIANG YIN | 13.6% | 7.36 | 10 |
| 3 | 3 | PING HAI TREASURE | 8.4% | 11.86 | 6 |
| 4 | 7 | SKYEY SUPREME | 8.3% | 12.04 | 8 |
| 5 | 1 | CLEAR CHOICE | 6.5% | 15.38 | 5 |
| 6 | 8 | SO WE JOY | 5.7% | 17.48 | 1 |
| 7 | 2 | STAR OF YUEN LONG | 5.3% | 18.93 | 9 |
| 8 | 6 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES | 4.7% | 21.20 | 3 |
| 9 | 10 | NOTHING NEW | 4.7% | 21.46 | 4 |
| 10 | 4 | TANGMERE | 3.9% | 25.33 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 134
PLACE
6 35.5
8 39.5
9 15.5
QUINELLA
8,9 226.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 245
6,9 72
8,9 84
FORECAST
8,9 656
TIERCE
8,9,6 6,231
TRIO
6,8,9 882
FIRST 4
6,8,9,10 1,069
QUARTET
8,9,6,10 32,956
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
8/8 352
8/9 12
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 25.5