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Sha Tin · 2021-04-17

Race 3

Class 3 WET SLOW 1650m 10 runners

Result

Official · 1.37.72
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 SO WE JOY Closed strongly TT 1.37.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · D A Hayes 9 13.0 4-1/4
2 0 PARTY EVERYDAY H/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz 1 3.3 4-1/4
3 0 GAMEPLAYER TIMES Closed strongly SR/XB H Bentley · D J Whyte 6 9.6 5-1/4
4 0 NOTHING NEW K Teetan · C W Chang 7 7.9 6-1/4
5 0 CLEAR CHOICE Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum 5 21.0 7-1/2
6 0 PING HAI TREASURE P A Hamelin · J Size 4 8.4 8
7 0 TANGMERE TT M L Yeung · C Fownes 2 19.0 9
8 0 SKYEY SUPREME Closed strongly B/TT V Borges · K W Lui 3 9.6 12
9 0 STAR OF YUEN LONG Led early K H Chan · K L Man 10 4.9 12-1/4
10 0 XIANG YIN TT Z Purton · F C Lor 8 11.0 13

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2021-04-17 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on WET SLOW going. SO WE JOY, ridden by K C Leung and trained by D A Hayes, won by 4-1/4, with PARTY EVERYDAY second and GAMEPLAYER TIMES third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite PARTY EVERYDAY finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SO WE JOY—2. PARTY EVERYDAY+4.25L3. GAMEPLAYER TIMES+5.25L4. NOTHING NEW+6.25L5. CLEAR CHOICE+7.5L6. PING HAI TREASURE+8L7. TANGMERE+9L8. SKYEY SUPREME+12L9. STAR OF YUEN LONG+12.25L10. XIANG YIN+13L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick PARTY EVERYDAY (38.9%) finished 2nd — the winner SO WE JOY was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 PARTY EVERYDAY 38.9% 2.57 2
2 0 XIANG YIN 13.6% 7.36 10
3 0 PING HAI TREASURE 8.4% 11.86 6
4 0 SKYEY SUPREME 8.3% 12.04 8
5 0 CLEAR CHOICE 6.5% 15.38 5
6 0 SO WE JOY 5.7% 17.48 1
7 0 STAR OF YUEN LONG 5.3% 18.93 9
8 0 GAMEPLAYER TIMES 4.7% 21.20 3
9 0 NOTHING NEW 4.7% 21.46 4
10 0 TANGMERE 3.9% 25.33 7
PARTY EVERYDAYXIANG YINPING HAI TREASURESKYEY SUPREMECLEAR CHOICESO WE JOY — wonSTAR OF YUEN LONGGAMEPLAYER TIMESNOTHING NEWTANGMERE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 134

PLACE

6 35.5

8 39.5

9 15.5

QUINELLA

8,9 226.5

QUINELLA PLACE

6,8 245

6,9 72

8,9 84

FORECAST

8,9 656

TIERCE

8,9,6 6,231

TRIO

6,8,9 882

FIRST 4

6,8,9,10 1,069

QUARTET

8,9,6,10 32,956

All pools (2 more)

2ND DOUBLE

8/8 352

8/9 12

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A2 —

A3 25.5