Sha Tin · 2021-04-17
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TAKING AIM Wire to wire SR 1.22.29 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 11 | 7.7 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | PERFECT TO GREAT Closed strongly V Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 8 | 4.8 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | MOERAKI B H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 7 | 24.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | TURQUOISE ALPHA Closed strongly CP K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 142.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | JUNEAU PARK Closed strongly J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 5 | 5.5 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | TRUST ME H M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 9 | 7.6 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | PIANO SOLO V Borges · C S Shum | V Borges | C S Shum | 1 | 20.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | EXCELLENT CHARIOT TT M L Yeung · P F Yiu | M L Yeung | P F Yiu | 10 | 12.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | JOLLY HONOUR Closed strongly B/TT2 C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 14 | 166.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | CHANCHENG PRINCE P C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 4.1 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | WHAT A LEGEND Closed strongly B H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 13 | 114.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | FLYING VICTORY H/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 4 | 20.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | BEAUTY SPIRIT CP/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 3 | 13.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | SMART LEADER B/TT H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 6 | 115.0 | 8-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2021-04-17 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. TAKING AIM, ridden by C L Chau and trained by D J Whyte, won by 3, with PERFECT TO GREAT second and MOERAKI third. The winner led throughout. The 4.1 favourite CHANCHENG PRINCE finished 10th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PERFECT TO GREAT | 26.7% | 3.75 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | JUNEAU PARK | 17.7% | 5.66 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | CHANCHENG PRINCE | 12.5% | 7.97 | 10 |
| 4 | 0 | BEAUTY SPIRIT | 8.6% | 11.58 | 13 |
| 5 | 0 | MOERAKI | 6.6% | 15.04 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | FLYING VICTORY | 6.4% | 15.53 | 12 |
| 7 | 0 | TRUST ME | 6.0% | 16.80 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | EXCELLENT CHARIOT | 4.0% | 25.14 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | TAKING AIM | 3.6% | 28.05 | 1 |
| 10 | 0 | PIANO SOLO | 2.7% | 37.09 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | SMART LEADER | 1.8% | 56.53 | 14 |
| 12 | 0 | JOLLY HONOUR | 1.6% | 60.68 | 9 |
| 13 | 0 | WHAT A LEGEND | 1.3% | 77.36 | 11 |
| 14 | 0 | TURQUOISE ALPHA | 0.5% | 207.31 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 77
PLACE
1 17
7 74.5
8 26.5
QUINELLA
1,8 201.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 204
1,8 78
7,8 347.5
FORECAST
8,1 573
TIERCE
8,1,7 9,932
TRIO
1,7,8 1,991
FIRST 4
1,7,8,9 33,465
QUARTET
8,1,7,9 504,393
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 22
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,11/1,7,8 685,368
9TH DOUBLE
2/1 58.5
2/8 756
SIX UP
1,3/4,10/3,11/5,9/2,11/1,8 123,508
2 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
9/2/1 1,286
9/2/8 9,624