Sha Tin · 2021-04-17
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | UNITE SPIRIT Closed strongly B/XB 1.39.01 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 6 | 14.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | DOUBLE TAKE Closed strongly B K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 7 | 7.2 | N |
| 3 | 0 | LADY FIRST CP/H/XB/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 3 | 2.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPER FAST Closed strongly XB T Piccone · K W Lui | T Piccone | K W Lui | 2 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | COOLCELEB PC-/B2/TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 1 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | EL VALIENTE B J Moreira · P O'Sullivan | J Moreira | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 3.1 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR Closed strongly B-/PC1 M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 10 | 42.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | GOLDEN FOUR Closed strongly P2 H Bentley · C W Chang | H Bentley | C W Chang | 8 | 66.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | MELBOURNE HALL H/XB C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 5 | 72.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | CROWN AVENUE V A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 11 | 17.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | OH BRAVO Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 12 | 39.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | RUN RUN GOOD Led early B K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 9 | 29.0 | 15-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2021-04-17 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. UNITE SPIRIT, ridden by B Shinn and trained by D E Ferraris, won by N, with DOUBLE TAKE second and LADY FIRST third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite LADY FIRST finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | EL VALIENTE | 29.9% | 3.34 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | LADY FIRST | 17.2% | 5.82 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | DOUBLE TAKE | 14.3% | 7.00 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | UNITE SPIRIT | 7.8% | 12.74 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | COOLCELEB | 6.7% | 14.92 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | SUPER FAST | 5.3% | 18.87 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | RUN RUN GOOD | 4.8% | 20.74 | 12 |
| 8 | 0 | CROWN AVENUE | 4.3% | 23.48 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | GOLDEN FOUR | 3.0% | 33.88 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | OH BRAVO | 2.7% | 36.68 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | MELBOURNE HALL | 2.2% | 45.31 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR | 1.8% | 55.85 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 140.5
PLACE
1 21.5
2 12.5
3 31
QUINELLA
1,3 408.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 35
1,3 115
2,3 51.5
FORECAST
3,1 1,253
TIERCE
3,1,2 2,326
TRIO
1,2,3 218
FIRST 4
1,2,3,5 697
QUARTET
3,1,2,5 21,837
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 34
A1 —
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
7/1 102
7/3 1,364.5