沙田 · 2021-04-17
第 7場
2021-04-17沙田第7場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由M Chadwick策騎、K L Man訓練的LUCKY RUBY勝出，贏出1/2。PEGASUS GLORY獲得亞軍；GALLANT LEGACY獲得季軍。4.6倍大熱門INFINITE POWER跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | LUCKY RUBY B/TT 1.09.04 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 8 | 6.2 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | PEGASUS GLORY B1 K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 10 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | GALLANT LEGACY TT C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 3 | 5.1 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | INFINITE POWER Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 4 | 4.6 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | THE BEST HERO V H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 12 | 41.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | LITTLE THUNDER B K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 6 | 6.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | THOU SHALL SING B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 4 | SEVEN HEAVENS B/TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 11 | 6.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | DEMONS ROCK B J Moreira · D J Hall | J Moreira | D J Hall | 9 | 16.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 2 | BLOTTING PAPER B C Wong · R Gibson | C Wong | R Gibson | 5 | 40.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | PEACH BLOSSOMS B/TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 7 | 70.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | JUST NOT LISTENING V K H Chan · T P Yung | K H Chan | T P Yung | 2 | 14.0 | 8-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | LITTLE THUNDER | 23.4% | 4.27 | 6 |
| 2 | 5 | THOU SHALL SING | 14.2% | 7.03 | 7 |
| 3 | 8 | DEMONS ROCK | 9.8% | 10.17 | 9 |
| 4 | 10 | INFINITE POWER | 9.5% | 10.55 | 4 |
| 5 | 4 | SEVEN HEAVENS | 8.6% | 11.61 | 8 |
| 6 | 7 | GALLANT LEGACY | 6.9% | 14.46 | 3 |
| 7 | 11 | LUCKY RUBY | 5.6% | 17.98 | 1 |
| 8 | 1 | JUST NOT LISTENING | 5.5% | 18.30 | 12 |
| 9 | 3 | PEGASUS GLORY | 5.4% | 18.67 | 2 |
| 10 | 2 | BLOTTING PAPER | 4.0% | 25.11 | 10 |
| 11 | 6 | PEACH BLOSSOMS | 4.0% | 25.25 | 11 |
| 12 | 12 | THE BEST HERO | 3.2% | 31.62 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 62.5
PLACE
3 32.5
7 18.5
11 21.5
QUINELLA
3,11 337.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 84.5
3,11 131.5
7,11 56.5
FORECAST
11,3 557
TIERCE
11,3,7 2,796
TRIO
3,7,11 545
FIRST 4
3,7,10,11 707
QUARTET
11,3,7,10 17,847
全部彩池（另 3 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,8,10/3,7,11 53,370
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 19.5
6TH DOUBLE
4/3 133.5
4/11 518