跑馬地 · 2021-04-21
第 2場
2021-04-21跑馬地第2場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由A Hamelin策騎、W Y So訓練的SPLIT OF A SECOND勝出，贏出1/2。RED MAJESTY獲得亞軍；VALIANT ELEGANCE獲得季軍。4.2倍大熱門FLYING MONKEY跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SPLIT OF A SECOND CP/H2 1.09.92 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 7 | 16.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 10 | RED MAJESTY B/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 6 | 5.5 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | VALIANT ELEGANCE B/TT J Moreira · D J Whyte | J Moreira | D J Whyte | 2 | 5.5 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | JOY AVENUE K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 10 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | WINNING STRIKES CP/TT K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 21.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | FLYING MONKEY BO/TT M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 3 | 4.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | VITAL SPRING CP/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 8.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | CAN'T TOUCH THIS B H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 9 | 73.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | CRUCIATUS XB/TT H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 12 | 82.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 5 | APOLLOS BOW B H Bentley · Y S Tsui | H Bentley | Y S Tsui | 1 | 6.7 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | ROSSE SCARPE H H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 11 | 184.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 6 | SUPREME PATROL B/TT B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 4 | 8.4 | 12 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | VALIANT ELEGANCE | 30.4% | 3.29 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | APOLLOS BOW | 11.7% | 8.57 | 10 |
| 3 | 3 | VITAL SPRING | 10.2% | 9.78 | 7 |
| 4 | 10 | RED MAJESTY | 9.6% | 10.40 | 2 |
| 5 | 12 | FLYING MONKEY | 9.2% | 10.82 | 6 |
| 6 | 6 | SUPREME PATROL | 8.0% | 12.47 | 12 |
| 7 | 7 | JOY AVENUE | 7.8% | 12.87 | 4 |
| 8 | 4 | WINNING STRIKES | 4.6% | 21.79 | 5 |
| 9 | 9 | CRUCIATUS | 4.2% | 23.84 | 9 |
| 10 | 1 | SPLIT OF A SECOND | 2.8% | 35.26 | 1 |
| 11 | 11 | CAN'T TOUCH THIS | 0.7% | 137.29 | 8 |
| 12 | 8 | ROSSE SCARPE | 0.7% | 142.99 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 160.5
PLACE
1 44.5
2 20
10 19.5
QUINELLA
1,10 352.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 145.5
1,10 128.5
2,10 59
FORECAST
1,10 1,169
TIERCE
1,10,2 6,338
TRIO
1,2,10 765
FIRST 4
1,2,7,10 1,583
QUARTET
1,10,2,7 43,569
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
2/1 1,277.5
2/10 168.5
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 23