跑馬地 · 2021-04-21
第 9場
2021-04-21跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C Y Ho策騎、K W Lui訓練的HIGH RISE SOLDIER勝出，贏出SH。SIMPLY FLUKE獲得亞軍；EVER FORCE獲得季軍。2.5倍大熱門EVER FORCE跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER PC 1.09.26 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 9.2 | SH |
| 2 | 12 | SIMPLY FLUKE CP/H/XB M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 7 | 48.0 | SH |
| 3 | 7 | EVER FORCE B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 2 | 2.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | BE READY V Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 6 | 5.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | ISLAND SHINE B/TT- A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 4 | 6.8 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | SHOUSON B M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 8 | 32.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | AURORA PEGASUS TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 9 | 17.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | HAPPY GOOD GUYS B H N Wong · P F Yiu | H N Wong | P F Yiu | 11 | 55.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | LIFELINE VISION B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 1 | 8.7 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK B K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 5 | 9.7 | 7 |
| 11 | 1 | YOO YOO KING TT1 M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 12 | 118.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | ARMOR STAR V C Wong · F C Lor | C Wong | F C Lor | 10 | 82.0 | 14-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | EVER FORCE | 20.1% | 4.98 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | BE READY | 13.3% | 7.51 | 4 |
| 3 | 9 | ISLAND SHINE | 13.2% | 7.56 | 5 |
| 4 | 6 | AURORA PEGASUS | 11.6% | 8.61 | 7 |
| 5 | 8 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK | 11.2% | 8.97 | 10 |
| 6 | 5 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 11.1% | 9.01 | 1 |
| 7 | 4 | SHOUSON | 7.1% | 14.12 | 6 |
| 8 | 11 | ARMOR STAR | 3.2% | 31.44 | 12 |
| 9 | 10 | HAPPY GOOD GUYS | 2.5% | 40.32 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | SIMPLY FLUKE | 2.5% | 40.33 | 2 |
| 11 | 3 | LIFELINE VISION | 2.5% | 40.38 | 9 |
| 12 | 1 | YOO YOO KING | 1.8% | 55.57 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 92.5
PLACE
5 23
7 14
12 103
QUINELLA
5,12 2,156
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 44
5,12 477
7,12 216.5
FORECAST
5,12 3,987
TIERCE
5,12,7 13,814
TRIO
5,7,12 1,582
FIRST 4
2,5,7,12 1,204
QUARTET
5,12,7,2 49,992
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 27
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,9,11/5,7,12 34,005
8TH DOUBLE
9/5 678
9/12 674
SIX UP
1/1/9/3/9/5 2,949,454
1,5/1,7/2,9/3,8/1,9/5,12 37,300
2 [K Teetan] —
TREBLE
3/9/5 12,242
3/9/12 14,991