跑馬地 · 2021-04-21
第 7場
2021-04-21跑馬地第7場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由V Borges策騎、K L Man訓練的CANTSTOPTHEFEELING勝出，贏出1/2。AMAZING ROCKY獲得亞軍；JOYFUL WIN獲得季軍。4.5倍大熱門SPICY SO GOOD跑獲第10名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING B/TT 0.57.34 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） V Borges · K L Man | V Borges | K L Man | 3 | 8.9 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | AMAZING ROCKY H K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 6 | 6.3 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | JOYFUL WIN B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 7 | 9.2 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | HARMONY FIRE XB C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 11 | 5.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | TRAVEL DATUK B M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 1 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | FOREVER CITY H/TT1 M L Yeung · P O'Sullivan | M L Yeung | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 121.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | ALLEZ B1 B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 4 | 45.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | VICTORY IN HAND TT T Piccone · K W Lui | T Piccone | K W Lui | 8 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | STEEL WIN B1 A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 5 | 9.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | SPICY SO GOOD B-/V1/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 2 | 4.5 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | MY MY MY XB J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 9 | 9.2 | 10-1/4 |
| — | 12 | OVERSUBSCRIBED M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MY MY MY | 21.4% | 4.68 | 11 |
| 2 | 8 | AMAZING ROCKY | 16.7% | 5.98 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING | 12.4% | 8.08 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | JOYFUL WIN | 10.7% | 9.31 | 3 |
| 5 | 6 | SPICY SO GOOD | 10.1% | 9.89 | 10 |
| 6 | 1 | HARMONY FIRE | 9.2% | 10.85 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | VICTORY IN HAND | 7.2% | 13.94 | 8 |
| 8 | 10 | TRAVEL DATUK | 6.2% | 16.07 | 5 |
| 9 | 7 | ALLEZ | 2.5% | 39.59 | 7 |
| 10 | 11 | STEEL WIN | 2.0% | 50.63 | 9 |
| 11 | 9 | FOREVER CITY | 1.6% | 63.14 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 89
PLACE
2 27.5
3 22.5
8 20
QUINELLA
3,8 168
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 117.5
2,8 99.5
3,8 68
FORECAST
3,8 350
TIERCE
3,8,2 3,014
TRIO
2,3,8 745
FIRST 4
1,2,3,8 916
QUARTET
3,8,2,1 22,782
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,9,12/2,3,8 251,397
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 45
A1 —
6TH DOUBLE
9/3 858.5
9/8 157.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,7,8/2,9,12/Any Combination 12,485