跑馬地 · 2021-04-21
第 6場
2021-04-21跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由M F Poon策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的TELECOM ROCKET勝出，贏出1-1/4。FLAMING PASSION獲得亞軍；CHAMPION PRIDE獲得季軍。2.6倍大熱門FIRE BALL跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | TELECOM ROCKET CP-/B2 1.09.35 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 7 | 8.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 2 | FLAMING PASSION CP1/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 2 | 4.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 12 | CHAMPION PRIDE B-/TT V Borges · D E Ferraris | V Borges | D E Ferraris | 4 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 8 | FIRE BALL TT J Moreira · C H Yip | J Moreira | C H Yip | 5 | 2.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | MONSTER KAKA TT Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 11 | 16.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 4 | TELECOM PUMA CP-/XB1/TT- B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 8 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 5 | IMMENSE HEDGE P1/TT1 K C Leung · J Size | K C Leung | J Size | 10 | 12.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | DOLLAR REWARD P-/TT A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 6 | 16.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | TAKINGUFURTHER H-/V C Wong · K H Ting | C Wong | K H Ting | 12 | 25.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 10 | MAGIC BONUS H M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 9 | 112.0 | 11 |
| 11 | 6 | LEGEND GOES C Y Ho · P O'Sullivan | C Y Ho | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 14.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | BULLISH BROTHER B/TT K H Chan · A S Cruz | K H Chan | A S Cruz | 3 | 49.0 | 12 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | FIRE BALL | 33.3% | 3.01 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 | FLAMING PASSION | 18.0% | 5.54 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | MONSTER KAKA | 11.5% | 8.69 | 5 |
| 4 | 12 | CHAMPION PRIDE | 8.4% | 11.97 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 | TELECOM ROCKET | 6.8% | 14.72 | 1 |
| 6 | 11 | DOLLAR REWARD | 5.9% | 16.94 | 8 |
| 7 | 5 | IMMENSE HEDGE | 4.3% | 23.28 | 7 |
| 8 | 4 | TELECOM PUMA | 3.6% | 27.96 | 6 |
| 9 | 7 | TAKINGUFURTHER | 3.3% | 30.14 | 9 |
| 10 | 6 | LEGEND GOES | 2.3% | 43.01 | 11 |
| 11 | 1 | BULLISH BROTHER | 1.8% | 56.18 | 12 |
| 12 | 10 | MAGIC BONUS | 0.8% | 119.04 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 82
PLACE
2 18.5
9 20
12 30.5
QUINELLA
2,9 159.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 50.5
2,12 109.5
9,12 124.5
FORECAST
9,2 431
TIERCE
9,2,12 4,311
TRIO
2,9,12 747
FIRST 4
2,8,9,12 447
QUARTET
9,2,12,8 15,535
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 41
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE
1/2 90.5
1/9 1,170.5