沙田 · 2021-04-25
第 3場
2021-04-25沙田第3場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由M Chadwick策騎、K L Man訓練的WAR OF COURAGE勝出，贏出1/2。FANTASTIC WAY獲得亞軍；SUNSET WATCH獲得季軍。1.7倍大熱門FANTASTIC WAY跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | WAR OF COURAGE B 1.09.12 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 8 | 17.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | FANTASTIC WAY J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 9 | 1.7 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | SUNSET WATCH P- A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 7 | 24.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | HARDLY SWEARS M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 2 | 43.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | YO BEAUTY CP1/H1/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 5 | 28.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | LIKE THAT V K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 10 | 9.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | EXCELLENT DADDY C Schofield · T P Yung | C Schofield | T P Yung | 11 | 52.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | TRADER CP K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 4 | 3.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | SOULMATE H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 6 | 187.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | PASSING FASHION H M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 3 | 284.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | OUR CLASS ACT H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 1 | 273.0 | 12-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | FANTASTIC WAY | 41.2% | 2.43 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | TRADER | 38.9% | 2.57 | 8 |
| 3 | 7 | LIKE THAT | 6.6% | 15.25 | 6 |
| 4 | 9 | WAR OF COURAGE | 3.7% | 27.33 | 1 |
| 5 | 2 | SUNSET WATCH | 3.6% | 28.10 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | YO BEAUTY | 1.6% | 63.67 | 5 |
| 7 | 5 | EXCELLENT DADDY | 1.5% | 67.10 | 7 |
| 8 | 11 | HARDLY SWEARS | 1.4% | 71.31 | 4 |
| 9 | 6 | SOULMATE | 0.7% | 142.29 | 9 |
| 10 | 4 | OUR CLASS ACT | 0.6% | 167.41 | 11 |
| 11 | 8 | PASSING FASHION | 0.3% | 317.04 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 172.5
PLACE
1 10.1
2 33
9 29.5
QUINELLA
1,9 122
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 58
1,9 43
2,9 145.5
FORECAST
9,1 518
TIERCE
9,1,2 3,290
TRIO
1,2,9 314
FIRST 4
1,2,9,11 732
QUARTET
9,1,2,11 28,848
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
13/1 37
13/9 934
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 20