沙田 · 2021-04-25
第 6場
2021-04-25沙田第6場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由K C Leung策騎、K L Man訓練的E STAR勝出，贏出1-1/4。HORSESAIN BOLT獲得亞軍；STAR PERFORMANCE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。1.3倍大熱門GALLANT EXPRESS跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | E STAR 後段發力 1.22.00 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 6 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 9 | HORSESAIN BOLT 後段發力 B/XB H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 14 | 23.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 8 | STAR PERFORMANCE 後段發力 TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 7 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 13 | GALLANT EXPRESS 後段發力 E J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 10 | 1.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | WINNING FOR ALL 後段發力 B/H/XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 22.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 14 | SMART FOLKS 早段領放 B A Badel · C W Chang | A Badel | C W Chang | 11 | 38.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | KING OPIE V K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 13 | 33.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 10 | GOLDEN LINK M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 2 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | TIANCHI MONSTER 後段發力 A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 9 | 57.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 12 | NORDIC WARRIOR 後段發力 B H T Mo · R Gibson | H T Mo | R Gibson | 8 | 89.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 7 | GREAT TREASURE B2 H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 4 | 38.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | DAILY BEAUTY 後段發力 TT T Piccone · C Fownes | T Piccone | C Fownes | 12 | 157.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 5 | SHINY ONE B R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 5 | 207.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 14 | 6 | CHAMPION PAL B1 B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 166.0 | 14-1/2 |
| — | 0 | TRUST ME · C H Yip | — | C H Yip | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | GALLANT EXPRESS | 60.6% | 1.65 | 4 |
| 2 | 9 | HORSESAIN BOLT | 6.5% | 15.45 | 2 |
| 3 | 10 | GOLDEN LINK | 5.3% | 18.90 | 8 |
| 4 | 8 | STAR PERFORMANCE | 5.1% | 19.70 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | WINNING FOR ALL | 4.4% | 22.51 | 5 |
| 6 | 3 | KING OPIE | 3.6% | 27.61 | 7 |
| 7 | 11 | DAILY BEAUTY | 3.1% | 32.11 | 12 |
| 8 | 14 | SMART FOLKS | 2.5% | 39.82 | 6 |
| 9 | 2 | E STAR | 2.3% | 43.78 | 1 |
| 10 | 12 | NORDIC WARRIOR | 2.2% | 45.88 | 10 |
| 11 | 1 | TIANCHI MONSTER | 1.7% | 59.73 | 9 |
| 12 | 6 | CHAMPION PAL | 1.4% | 70.56 | 14 |
| 13 | 7 | GREAT TREASURE | 1.0% | 103.93 | 11 |
| 14 | 5 | SHINY ONE | 0.4% | 265.62 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 137.5
PLACE
2 25.5
8 31
9 36.5
QUINELLA
2,9 959.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 164.5
2,9 211
8,9 195.5
FORECAST
2,9 1,525
TIERCE
2,9,8 13,921
TRIO
2,8,9 2,707
FIRST 4
2,8,9,13 566
QUARTET
2,9,8,13 30,803
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 45
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
6/2 396
6/9 133.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,5,10/4,6,13/Any Combination 29,703