Sha Tin · 2021-04-25
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2021-04-25 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. E STAR, ridden by K C Leung and trained by K L Man, won by 1-1/4, with HORSESAIN BOLT second and STAR PERFORMANCE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.3 favourite GALLANT EXPRESS finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | E STAR Closed strongly 1.22.00 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 6 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 9 | HORSESAIN BOLT Closed strongly B/XB H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 14 | 23.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 8 | STAR PERFORMANCE Closed strongly TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 7 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 13 | GALLANT EXPRESS Closed strongly E J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 10 | 1.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | WINNING FOR ALL Closed strongly B/H/XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 22.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 14 | SMART FOLKS Led early B A Badel · C W Chang | A Badel | C W Chang | 11 | 38.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | KING OPIE V K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 13 | 33.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 10 | GOLDEN LINK M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 2 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | TIANCHI MONSTER Closed strongly A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 9 | 57.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 12 | NORDIC WARRIOR Closed strongly B H T Mo · R Gibson | H T Mo | R Gibson | 8 | 89.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 7 | GREAT TREASURE B2 H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 4 | 38.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | DAILY BEAUTY Closed strongly TT T Piccone · C Fownes | T Piccone | C Fownes | 12 | 157.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 5 | SHINY ONE B R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 5 | 207.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 14 | 6 | CHAMPION PAL B1 B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 166.0 | 14-1/2 |
| — | 0 | TRUST ME · C H Yip | — | C H Yip | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | GALLANT EXPRESS | 60.6% | 1.65 | 4 |
| 2 | 9 | HORSESAIN BOLT | 6.5% | 15.45 | 2 |
| 3 | 10 | GOLDEN LINK | 5.3% | 18.90 | 8 |
| 4 | 8 | STAR PERFORMANCE | 5.1% | 19.70 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | WINNING FOR ALL | 4.4% | 22.51 | 5 |
| 6 | 3 | KING OPIE | 3.6% | 27.61 | 7 |
| 7 | 11 | DAILY BEAUTY | 3.1% | 32.11 | 12 |
| 8 | 14 | SMART FOLKS | 2.5% | 39.82 | 6 |
| 9 | 2 | E STAR | 2.3% | 43.78 | 1 |
| 10 | 12 | NORDIC WARRIOR | 2.2% | 45.88 | 10 |
| 11 | 1 | TIANCHI MONSTER | 1.7% | 59.73 | 9 |
| 12 | 6 | CHAMPION PAL | 1.4% | 70.56 | 14 |
| 13 | 7 | GREAT TREASURE | 1.0% | 103.93 | 11 |
| 14 | 5 | SHINY ONE | 0.4% | 265.62 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 137.5
PLACE
2 25.5
8 31
9 36.5
QUINELLA
2,9 959.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 164.5
2,9 211
8,9 195.5
FORECAST
2,9 1,525
TIERCE
2,9,8 13,921
TRIO
2,8,9 2,707
FIRST 4
2,8,9,13 566
QUARTET
2,9,8,13 30,803
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 45
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
6/2 396
6/9 133.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,5,10/4,6,13/Any Combination 29,703