Sha Tin · 2021-04-25
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SERIOUS LIAISON Closed strongly TT 1.34.84 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 2 | 9.1 | N |
| 2 | 0 | MALDIVES Closed strongly XB Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 3 | 6.3 | N |
| 3 | 0 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S B M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 5 | 8.6 | N |
| 4 | 0 | DECISIVE ACTION Closed strongly CP/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 10 | 21.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | MEANINGFUL STAR Closed strongly B K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 8 | 26.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | BEAUTY FIT E C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 12 | 5.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | BEAUTY DAY Led early B/H K H Chan · T P Yung | K H Chan | T P Yung | 11 | 40.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | NEW FUTURE Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 4 | 6.9 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | ENTRUSTED Closed strongly CP2/TT1 J Moreira · W Y So | J Moreira | W Y So | 9 | 6.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | PERFECT TO GREAT V K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 7 | 8.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | KYRUS UNICORN R Maia · C W Chang | R Maia | C W Chang | 6 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | FLASH FAMOUS TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 1 | 69.0 | 10-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2021-04-25 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. SERIOUS LIAISON, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C Fownes, won by N, with MALDIVES second and ALL FOR ST PAUL'S third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.4 favourite BEAUTY FIT finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MALDIVES | 32.0% | 3.13 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | PERFECT TO GREAT | 12.5% | 8.00 | 10 |
| 3 | 0 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S | 10.0% | 9.99 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | BEAUTY FIT | 8.9% | 11.23 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | ENTRUSTED | 6.8% | 14.72 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | NEW FUTURE | 6.6% | 15.22 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | SERIOUS LIAISON | 6.1% | 16.44 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | DECISIVE ACTION | 4.3% | 23.52 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | KYRUS UNICORN | 4.2% | 23.61 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | FLASH FAMOUS | 3.9% | 25.64 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | BEAUTY DAY | 3.1% | 32.22 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | MEANINGFUL STAR | 1.6% | 60.68 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 91.5
PLACE
3 27.5
5 30.5
10 22.5
QUINELLA
5,10 287
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 131.5
3,10 82.5
5,10 97.5
FORECAST
5,10 664
TIERCE
5,10,3 4,026
TRIO
3,5,10 763
FIRST 4
3,5,10,12 2,981
QUARTET
5,10,3,12 54,903
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,9/3,5,10 13,268
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 18.5
3RD DOUBLE
9/5 1,198
9/10 252.5