Sha Tin · 2021-04-25
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2021-04-25 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. PARTY GENIUS, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1-3/4, with BELLA BABY second and BEAUTY CHEERS third. The 2.6 favourite PACKING AWARD finished 10th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | PARTY GENIUS CP/XB 1.09.19 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 10 | 9.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 9 | BELLA BABY XB/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 11 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 10 | BEAUTY CHEERS E J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 7 | 13.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | VICTORY SCHOLARS K C Leung · D J Hall | K C Leung | D J Hall | 2 | 3.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | EXCEED THE STARS B M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 1 | 38.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | ALL YOU KNOW B/TT T Piccone · R Gibson | T Piccone | R Gibson | 6 | 103.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | WIN WIN STAR R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 3 | 98.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 1 | LUCKY QUALITY K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 12 | 23.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | INCREDIBLE B1/TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 8 | 201.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | PACKING AWARD H Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 5 | 2.6 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | GALACTIC B A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 13 | 7.1 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | SURE WINNER B M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 14 | 247.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 6 | LEISURE AND GOLD H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 9 | 300.0 | 16-3/4 |
| 14 | 14 | MULTIPOWER B/TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 4 | 194.0 | 17 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | PACKING AWARD | 31.7% | 3.15 | 10 |
| 2 | 4 | VICTORY SCHOLARS | 20.4% | 4.91 | 4 |
| 3 | 10 | BEAUTY CHEERS | 13.3% | 7.52 | 3 |
| 4 | 13 | PARTY GENIUS | 9.6% | 10.41 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | LUCKY QUALITY | 5.2% | 19.16 | 8 |
| 6 | 3 | GALACTIC | 4.9% | 20.39 | 11 |
| 7 | 9 | BELLA BABY | 4.0% | 25.23 | 2 |
| 8 | 7 | WIN WIN STAR | 3.8% | 26.66 | 7 |
| 9 | 8 | ALL YOU KNOW | 2.5% | 40.20 | 6 |
| 10 | 2 | EXCEED THE STARS | 2.0% | 49.82 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | INCREDIBLE | 1.3% | 76.16 | 9 |
| 12 | 11 | SURE WINNER | 0.6% | 181.51 | 12 |
| 13 | 14 | MULTIPOWER | 0.4% | 226.25 | 14 |
| 14 | 6 | LEISURE AND GOLD | 0.4% | 264.16 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 90.5
PLACE
9 26
10 37
13 26
QUINELLA
9,13 416.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,10 168.5
9,13 115
10,13 132
FORECAST
13,9 685
TIERCE
13,9,10 6,599
TRIO
9,10,13 1,217
FIRST 4
4,9,10,13 856
QUARTET
13,9,10,4 26,660
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
1/9 127
1/13 537
3 PICK 1
A2 36.5
A1 —
A3 —