Sha Tin · 2021-04-25
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SAVAQUIN Closed strongly 1.34.86 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 8 | 6.2 | N |
| 2 | 0 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 10 | 2.8 | N |
| 3 | 0 | MAXIMUS SR K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 6 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPER FOOTBALL Closed strongly M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 11 | 8.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | CHARITY GO Closed strongly SR A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 3 | 8.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | CELESTIAL POWER Closed strongly V M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 2 | 7.7 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | SAVVY NINE Closed strongly SR-/XB/B1 H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 9 | 17.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | SOLAR WAI WAI Led early K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 13 | 79.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | CIRCUIT THREE Closed strongly B/TT C Schofield · A S Cruz | C Schofield | A S Cruz | 7 | 17.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | HOLY HEART PC/TT H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 5 | 170.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | BIGWOOD B/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 1 | 43.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | ENJOYING B-/XB-/TT1 T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 4 | 34.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | SUPER OASIS Closed strongly B/H1/XB2 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 17.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM B-/XB/H2 H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 14 | 153.0 | 5-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2021-04-25 was Class 2 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. SAVAQUIN, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by N, with TOURBILLON DIAMOND second and MAXIMUS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite TOURBILLON DIAMOND finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SAVAQUIN | 28.0% | 3.57 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND | 22.8% | 4.39 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | CHARITY GO | 8.9% | 11.20 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPER FOOTBALL | 6.6% | 15.08 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | CIRCUIT THREE | 5.0% | 20.07 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | BIGWOOD | 4.5% | 22.02 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | MAXIMUS | 4.5% | 22.21 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | CELESTIAL POWER | 4.3% | 23.25 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | SUPER OASIS | 3.6% | 27.89 | 13 |
| 10 | 0 | SAVVY NINE | 3.4% | 29.10 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | ENJOYING | 3.4% | 29.20 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | SOLAR WAI WAI | 2.7% | 37.07 | 8 |
| 13 | 0 | HOLY HEART | 1.3% | 76.51 | 10 |
| 14 | 0 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM | 0.8% | 120.83 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 62.5
PLACE
2 14
10 36
11 20
QUINELLA
2,11 76
QUINELLA PLACE
2,10 55
2,11 35.5
10,11 101.5
FORECAST
11,2 229
TIERCE
11,2,10 1,320
TRIO
2,10,11 187
FIRST 4
2,10,11,13 612
QUARTET
11,2,10,13 12,148
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 19.5
8TH DOUBLE
7/2 33.5
7/11 289.5