沙田 · 2021-04-25
第 9場
2021-04-25沙田第9場，Class 2，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、J Size訓練的SAVAQUIN勝出，贏出N。TOURBILLON DIAMOND獲得亞軍；MAXIMUS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.8倍大熱門TOURBILLON DIAMOND跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SAVAQUIN 後段發力 1.34.86 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 8 | 6.2 | N |
| 2 | 2 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 10 | 2.8 | N |
| 3 | 10 | MAXIMUS SR K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 6 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 13 | SUPER FOOTBALL 後段發力 M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 11 | 8.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | CHARITY GO 後段發力 SR A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 3 | 8.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 14 | CELESTIAL POWER 後段發力 V M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 2 | 7.7 | 2 |
| 7 | 1 | SAVVY NINE 後段發力 SR-/XB/B1 H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 9 | 17.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 3 | SOLAR WAI WAI 早段領放 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 13 | 79.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | CIRCUIT THREE 後段發力 B/TT C Schofield · A S Cruz | C Schofield | A S Cruz | 7 | 17.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 9 | HOLY HEART PC/TT H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 5 | 170.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | BIGWOOD B/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 1 | 43.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | ENJOYING B-/XB-/TT1 T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 4 | 34.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 13 | 6 | SUPER OASIS 後段發力 B/H1/XB2 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 17.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 14 | 12 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM B-/XB/H2 H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 14 | 153.0 | 5-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SAVAQUIN | 28.0% | 3.57 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND | 22.8% | 4.39 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | CHARITY GO | 8.9% | 11.20 | 5 |
| 4 | 13 | SUPER FOOTBALL | 6.6% | 15.08 | 4 |
| 5 | 4 | CIRCUIT THREE | 5.0% | 20.07 | 9 |
| 6 | 8 | BIGWOOD | 4.5% | 22.02 | 11 |
| 7 | 10 | MAXIMUS | 4.5% | 22.21 | 3 |
| 8 | 14 | CELESTIAL POWER | 4.3% | 23.25 | 6 |
| 9 | 6 | SUPER OASIS | 3.6% | 27.89 | 13 |
| 10 | 1 | SAVVY NINE | 3.4% | 29.10 | 7 |
| 11 | 5 | ENJOYING | 3.4% | 29.20 | 12 |
| 12 | 3 | SOLAR WAI WAI | 2.7% | 37.07 | 8 |
| 13 | 9 | HOLY HEART | 1.3% | 76.51 | 10 |
| 14 | 12 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM | 0.8% | 120.83 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 62.5
PLACE
2 14
10 36
11 20
QUINELLA
2,11 76
QUINELLA PLACE
2,10 55
2,11 35.5
10,11 101.5
FORECAST
11,2 229
TIERCE
11,2,10 1,320
TRIO
2,10,11 187
FIRST 4
2,10,11,13 612
QUARTET
11,2,10,13 12,148
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 19.5
8TH DOUBLE
7/2 33.5
7/11 289.5