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Sha Tin · 2021-04-25

Race 8

Group 1 GOOD 2000m Course A 7 runners

Result

Official · 2.01.22
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 LOVES ONLY YOU Closed strongly 2.01.22 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · Y Yahagi 5 5.8 3/4
2 0 GLORY VASE Closed strongly XB K Teetan · T Ozeki 7 4.7 3/4
3 0 DARING TACT K Matsuyama · H Sugiyama 1 2.5 1-1/4
4 0 KISEKI Closed strongly C Schofield · Y Tsujino 3 10.0 2-3/4
5 0 EXULTANT XB/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz 2 4.7 3
6 0 GLORIOUS DRAGON Closed strongly TT M F Poon · K W Lui 6 10.0 3-3/4
7 0 TIME WARP Led early TT J Moreira · A S Cruz 4 27.0 5-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2021-04-25 was Group 1 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. LOVES ONLY YOU, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by Y Yahagi, won by 3/4, with GLORY VASE second and DARING TACT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite DARING TACT finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LOVES ONLY YOU—2. GLORY VASE+0.75L3. DARING TACT+1.25L4. KISEKI+2.75L5. EXULTANT+3L6. GLORIOUS DRAGON+3.75L7. TIME WARP+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick EXULTANT (50.5%) finished 5th — the winner LOVES ONLY YOU was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 EXULTANT 50.5% 1.98 5
2 0 GLORY VASE 14.7% 6.80 2
3 0 GLORIOUS DRAGON 11.0% 9.08 6
4 0 TIME WARP 8.0% 12.47 7
5 0 DARING TACT 6.6% 15.23 3
6 0 LOVES ONLY YOU 5.6% 17.93 1
7 0 KISEKI 3.6% 28.04 4
EXULTANTGLORY VASEGLORIOUS DRAGONTIME WARPDARING TACTLOVES ONLY YOU — wonKISEKI

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 58

PLACE

1 14

6 14.5

7 16.5

QUINELLA

1,7 94

QUINELLA PLACE

1,6 27.5

1,7 34.5

6,7 27.5

FORECAST

7,1 181

TIERCE

7,1,6 571

TRIO

1,6,7 81

FIRST 4

1,4,6,7 67

QUARTET

7,1,6,4 1,806

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A1 18

A3 —

7TH DOUBLE

1/1 12

1/7 53.5

← Race 7 Race 9 → This meeting Draw bias · Sha Tin 2000m Need this as data? Full results archive — US$299 All results since 1977 as data